土地利用隐性形态与生态福利绩效耦合协调及其影响因素——以黄河下游沿岸城市为例

常婧琳; 马瑛; 苏向辉; 付文凯; 瞿成龙

doi:10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2025.01.039

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土地利用隐性形态与生态福利绩效耦合协调及其影响因素——以黄河下游沿岸城市为例

试验研究

- 土地利用隐性形态与生态福利绩效耦合协调及其影响因素——以黄河下游沿岸城市为例
- Coupling coordination of land use recessive form and ecological welfare performance and its influencing factors—A case study in cities along Lower Yellow River
- 水土保持通报 2025年45卷第1期页码：381-392
- 作者机构：
  
  1. 新疆农业大学公共管理学院,新疆,乌鲁木齐,830052
  2. 新疆农业大学亚心校区管理委员会,新疆,乌鲁木齐,830052
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
  
  国家社会科学基金项目“三权分置”改革背景下新疆农村土地与金融融合发展机制与路径研究”(20BGL174)
- DOI：10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2025.01.039
  中图分类号： F293.2;X171.1
- 纸质出版：2025
- 稿件说明：
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常婧琳, 马瑛, 苏向辉, 等. 土地利用隐性形态与生态福利绩效耦合协调及其影响因素——以黄河下游沿岸城市为例[J]. 水土保持通报, 2025,45(1):381-392.

Chang Jinglin, Ma Ying, Su Xianghui, et al. Coupling coordination of land use recessive form and ecological welfare performance and its influencing factors—A case study in cities along Lower Yellow River[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2025, 45(1): 381-392.
常婧琳, 马瑛, 苏向辉, 等. 土地利用隐性形态与生态福利绩效耦合协调及其影响因素——以黄河下游沿岸城市为例[J]. 水土保持通报, 2025,45(1):381-392. DOI： 10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2025.01.039.

Chang Jinglin, Ma Ying, Su Xianghui, et al. Coupling coordination of land use recessive form and ecological welfare performance and its influencing factors—A case study in cities along Lower Yellow River[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2025, 45(1): 381-392. DOI： 10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2025.01.039.

摘要

[目的] 明晰黄河下游沿岸城市土地利用隐性形态与生态福利绩效的耦合协调时空格局演变规律，揭示其影响因素作用方向，为助推黄河下游沿岸城市群绿色发展提供科学依据。[方法] 基于2012—2021年黄河下游沿岸17个地级市的面板数据，采用综合指数模型与Super-SBM模型对其土地利用隐性形态和生态福利绩效进行测度，并运用ArcGIS可视化、核密度分析和耦合协调模型深入剖析各地市土地利用隐性形态、生态福利绩效水平及二者耦合协调度在时空维度上的演变趋势，借助Tobit回归模型探析影响因素。[结果] ①各城市的土地利用隐性形态指数稳中有进，生态福利绩效水平经历了“先降后升”的阶段性演变过程。②研究期内黄河下游沿岸城市整体生态福利绩效和土地利用隐性形态的耦合协调度经历了“濒临失调—勉强协调”的转变，有向初级协调类变化的趋势。③对外开放，产业结构、空间聚集会对耦合协调产生显著的正向影响关系；科技创新、城市环境则对耦合协调具有明显的抑制作用；高程、坡度、教育水平并不会对耦合协调产生影响。[结论] 未来应因地制宜促进土地合理利用，制定科学的环境保护政策，加强对城市的监控与管理，强化省会城市的辐射带动作用，促进城市间绿色协同发展。

Abstract

[Objective] This study aimed to clarify the spatiotemporal pattern evolution law of the coupling coordination between the recessive form of urban land use and ecological welfare performance

reveal the direction of its influencing factors

and provide a scientific basis for promoting the green development of urban agglomerations along the Lower Yellow River. [Methods] Based on panel data from 17 prefecture-level cities along the Lower Yellow River from 2012 to 2021

the comprehensive index and Super-SBM models were used to measure the recessive form of land use and ecological welfare performance. In addition

ArcGIS visualization

kernel density analysis

and a coupled coordination model were used to deply analyze the evolution trend of the recessive form of land use

the performance level of ecological welfare

and the coupling coordination degree of them in the spatial and temporal dimensions

with the influencing factors analyzed using the Tobit regression model. [Results] ① The recessive form of land use in each city was stable but improved

and the ecological welfare performance experienced a phased evolution process of “first decreasing and then increasing.” ② During the study period

the coupling coordination degree of the overall ecological welfare performance and the recessive form of land use of cities along the Lower Yellow River experienced a change from “near disharmony to barely coordination

” and tended to change to primary coordination. ③ Opening to the outside world

industrial structure

and spatial agglomeration had significant positive effects on the coupling coordination; but scientific and technological innovation and the urban environment had obvious inhibitory effects on the coupling coordination. Meanwhile

elevation

slope

and education level did not affect the coupling coordination. [Conclusion] In the future

it is necessary to promote the rational use of land according to local conditions

formulate scientific environmental protection policies

strengthen the monitoring and management of cities

strengthen the leading role of provincial capitals

and promote green coordinated development among cities.

关键词

Keywords

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