郑州轻工业大学 社会发展研究中心,河南,郑州,450001
纸质出版:2024
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张家旗, 关小克. 坦桑尼亚土地利用的时空演变及驱动因素[J]. 水土保持通报, 2024,44(3):201-211.
Zhang Jiaqi, Guan Xiaoke. Spatiotemporal Evolution and Driving Factors of Land Use in Tanzania[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2024, 44(3): 201-211.
张家旗, 关小克. 坦桑尼亚土地利用的时空演变及驱动因素[J]. 水土保持通报, 2024,44(3):201-211. DOI: 10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2024.03.021.
Zhang Jiaqi, Guan Xiaoke. Spatiotemporal Evolution and Driving Factors of Land Use in Tanzania[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2024, 44(3): 201-211. DOI: 10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2024.03.021.
[目的] 探究坦桑尼亚2000—2020年土地利用的时空演变特征及其驱动因素,为坦桑尼亚制定有效土地利用政策和中—坦资源开发利用合作提供参考。[方法] 基于全球30 m空间分辨率地表覆盖数据集,利用多种土地利用指标及标准差椭圆分析、热点分析、地理探测器等GIS空间分析方法,对坦桑尼亚2000—2020年土地利用时空演变及驱动因素进行分析。[结果] ①坦桑尼亚土地利用动态度有所下降,其中桑给巴尔岛屿各省下降程度较大,土地利用多样性和土地利用程度有所提升。 ②耕地、林地、草地、人造地表空间分布均呈现“西北—东南”走向,耕地中心不断南移,南北发展差距逐渐缩小,人造地表空间分布东西差异较大且最为分散。 ③耕地前一时期增加较多且较为集中,主要位于中西部区域,而后增幅降低且较为分散;林地前一时期集中大幅减少,中部、西部和南部区域减少最为明显,后一时期减幅降低;人造地表前一时期增幅较小,主要集中于东部沿海区域,后一时期增速加快。 ④不同土地利用类型变化受自然环境和社会经济因素影响的大小和显著性均有所差别,自然因素对耕地变化的影响大于社会因素,人造地表变化主要受社会经济因素影响。[结论] 坦桑尼亚不同区域的不同土地利用类型演变特征各异,面对耕地开发不足,林地不断减少,人造地表无序扩张等问题,需要因地制宜地制定土地利用开发政策,提升政策的针对性和可行性。
[Objective] The spatiotemporal evolution characteristics and driving factors of land use in Tanzania from 2000 to 2020 were analyzed in order to provide a reference for the formulation of effective land use policy and cooperation in resource development and utilization between China and Tanzania. [Methods] Based on the global 30 m spatial resolution land cover dataset
the spatial and temporal evolution and driving factors of land use in Tanzania from 2000 to 2020 were analyzed by using a variety of land use indicators and GIS spatial analysis methods such as standard deviation ellipse analysis
hotspot analysis and geodetector. [Results] ① The land use dynamic degree in Tanzania decreased (with a significant decrease in the provinces of Zanzibar Islands)
while land use diversity and land use degree increased. ② The spatial distribution of cultivated land
forest land
grassland
and artificial surface presented a “northwest-southeast” trend. The center of cultivated land was constantly shifting southward
and the development gap between the north and the south gradually narrowed. The spatial distribution of artificial surface varied greatly from east to west
and was the most dispersed. ③ Cultivated land increased and was more concentrated in the previous period
mainly in the central and western zones
while the growth rate decreased and became more dispersed. The concentration of forest land decreased in the previous period
with the most significant reduction in the central
western
and southern zones
and the decrease rate became less in the later period. The growth rate of artificial surface was relatively small in the previous period
and was mainly concentrated in the eastern coastal area
and the growth rage accelerated in the later period. ④ The degree and significance of the impact of natural environment and socio-economic factors on changes in different land use types varied. Natural factors had a greater impact on changes in cultivated land than social factors
while artificial surface changes were mainly influenced by socio-economic factors. [Conclusion] The evolution characteristics of different land use types in different areas of Tanzania varied. Faced with issues such as insufficient development of cultivated land
continuous reduction of forest land
and disorderly expansion of artificial surface
it will be necessary to formulate land use development policies tailored to local conditions to enhance the pertinence and feasibility of the policies.
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