2000—2021年黄河流域化肥使用量与粮食产量时空变化特征

张志高; 杨佳慧; 陈河阳; 刘嘉毅; 舒馨月; 石玉竹; 郭超凡

doi:10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2024.02.032

您当前的位置：

首页 >

文章列表页 >

2000—2021年黄河流域化肥使用量与粮食产量时空变化特征

试验研究

- 2000—2021年黄河流域化肥使用量与粮食产量时空变化特征
- Spatial-temporal Distribution Characteristics of Fertilizer Application and Grain Yield in Yellow River Basin from 2000 to 2021
- 水土保持通报 2024年44卷第2期页码：312-321
- 作者机构：
  
  1. 安阳师范学院资源环境与旅游学院,河南,安阳,455000
  2. 衢州学院,浙江,衢州,324000
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
  
  河南省哲学社会科学规划项目“气候变化对河南省农业生产率影响效应研究”(2022BJJ003);河南省科技攻关项目“基于多源数据的河南省农业干旱动态变化与驱动机制研究”(232102320024);安阳市科技发展计划项目“近62年安阳市气候变化及其对农业生产的影响研究”(2022C01NY019)
- DOI：10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2024.02.032
  中图分类号： S147
- 纸质出版：2024
- 稿件说明：
移动端阅览
张志高, 杨佳慧, 陈河阳, 等. 2000—2021年黄河流域化肥使用量与粮食产量时空变化特征[J]. 水土保持通报, 2024,44(2):312-321.

Zhang Zhigao, YangJiahui, Chen Heyang, et al. Spatial-temporal Distribution Characteristics of Fertilizer Application and Grain Yield in Yellow River Basin from 2000 to 2021[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2024, 44(2): 312-321.
张志高, 杨佳慧, 陈河阳, 等. 2000—2021年黄河流域化肥使用量与粮食产量时空变化特征[J]. 水土保持通报, 2024,44(2):312-321. DOI： 10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2024.02.032.

Zhang Zhigao, YangJiahui, Chen Heyang, et al. Spatial-temporal Distribution Characteristics of Fertilizer Application and Grain Yield in Yellow River Basin from 2000 to 2021[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2024, 44(2): 312-321. DOI： 10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2024.02.032.

摘要

[目的] 研究黄河流域化肥使用时空变化特征及其与粮食生产的关系，为该流域化肥施用管控提供理论依据。 [方法] 基于2000—2021年黄河流域化肥使用量和粮食产量相关数据，采用空间自相关分析、核密度分析和标准差椭圆等方法对黄河流域化肥使用的时空变化特征进行了分析，并探讨化肥使用量和粮食产量的关系。 [结果] 2000—2021年黄河流域粮食产量增长49.55%，大于化肥使用量增速(24.87%)，2013年后流域化肥使用量开始波动下降，粮食产量依然保持增长趋势，化肥使用效率明显提升。近22 a来黄河流域化肥使用的区域集聚态势在持续减弱，黄河流域化肥使用量在空间上具有一定的非均衡性，热点区域主要集中在河南和山东省，冷点区域集中在青海和甘肃省，22 a来黄河流域化肥使用热点区域减少，高值聚集区向西移动，冷点区域增加。近22 a来黄河流域上中下游地区化肥使用量分别增长46.52%，38.68%和9.50%，西部地区化肥使用量快速增长，推动了流域化肥使用重心向北西西方向移动57.40 km。近22 a来黄河流域粮食产量重心向北北西方向移动22.06 km，与化肥使用量重心趋于分离。 [结论] 黄河流域化肥减量增效行动成效显著，但整体化肥使用强度仍为超标状态，未来仍需减少化肥使用。

Abstract

[Objective] The spatiotemporal variation characteristics of chemical fertilizer use in the Yellow River basin and its relationship with grain production were analyzed in order to provide a theoretical basis for the control of chemical fertilizer application in the basin. [Methods] Fertilizer application and grain yield data in the Yellow River basin from 2000 to 2021 were used with spatial autocorrelation analysis

kernel density analysis

and ellipse of standard deviation to analyze the temporal and spatial variation characteristics of fertilizer use in the Yellow River basin

and to explore the relationship between fertilizer use and grain yield. [Results] From 2000 to 2021

grain yield in the Yellow River basin has increased by 49.55%

which was greater than the growth rate of chemical fertilizer application (24.87%). After 2013

chemical fertilizer applications in the basin began to fluctuate and decrease

while grain yield still maintained a growth trend. The efficiency of fertilizer application has significantly improved. During the past 22 years

the regional agglomeration trend of chemical fertilizer application in the Yellow River basin has been continuously weakening. The amount of chemical fertilizer use in the Yellow River basin has a certain degree of spatial imbalance

with hot areas mainly concentrated in Henan and Shandong Province

and cold areas concentrated in Qinghai and Gansu Province. During the past 22 years

the number of hot areas of chemical fertilizer use in the Yellow River basin has decreased

high-value aggregation areas have moved westward

and cold areas have increased. During the past 22 years

the use of chemical fertilizers in the upper

middle

and lower reaches of the Yellow River basin has increased by 46.52%

38.68%

and 9.5%

respectively. The rapid growth of chemical fertilizer use in the western region has moved the center of gravity of chemical fertilizer use in the basin 57.40 km to the northwest. During the past 22 years

the center of gravity of grain production in the Yellow River basin has shifted 22.06 km to the northwest

and it has tended to separate from the center of gravity of fertilizer use. [Conclusion] The action of reducing chemical fertilizer use and increasing fertilizer use efficiency in the Yellow River basin has achieved significant results

but the overall intensity of chemical fertilizer use still exceeds the standard. Therefore

it will still be necessary to reduce chemical fertilizer use in the future.

关键词

Keywords

references

张灿强,王莉,华春林,等.中国主要粮食生产的化肥削减潜力及其碳减排效应[J].资源科学,2016,38(4):790-797. Zhang Canqiang, Wang Li, Hua Chunlin, et al. Potentialities of fertilizer reduction for grain produce and effects on carbon emissions[J]. Resources Science, 2016, 38(4):790-797.

宋红梅,李廷亮,刘洋,等.我国近20年主要粮食作物产量、进出口及化肥投入变化特征[J].水土保持学报,2023,37(1):332-339. Song Hongmei, Li Tingliang, Liu Yang, et al. Temporal variation of main grain crops yield, import and export and fertilier consumption of China in the past 20 years[J]. Journal of Soil and Water Conservation, 2023,37(1):332-339.

王祖力,肖海峰.化肥施用对粮食产量增长的作用分析[J].农业经济问题,2008,29(8):65-68. Wang Zuli, Xiao Haifeng. Analysis of chemical fertilizer on the growth of grain output[J]. Issues of Agriculture Economy, 2008,29(8):65-68.

龚斌磊.投入要素与生产率对中国农业增长的贡献研究[J].农业技术经济,2018(6):4-18. Gong Binlei. The contribution of inputs and productivity to agricultural growth in China[J]. Journal of Agrotechnical Economics, 2018,29(6):4-18.

赵志坚,胡小娟,彭翠婷,等.湖南省化肥投入与粮食产出变化对环境成本的影响分析[J].生态环境学报,2012,21(12):2007-2012. Zhao Zhijian, Hu Xiaojuan, Peng Cuiting, et al. The effect of fertilizer usage on grain output and environmental cost:An empirical study in Hunan Province[J]. Ecology and Environmental Sciences, 2012,21(12):2007-2012.

刘钦普,濮励杰.中国粮食主产区化肥施用时空特征及生态经济合理性分析[J].农业工程学报,2019,35(23):142-150. Liu Qinpu, Pu Lijie. Spatiotemporal variation of fertilizer utilization and its eco-economic rationality in major grain production areas of China[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering, 2019, 35(23):142-150.

孔凡斌,郭巧苓,潘丹.中国粮食作物的过量施肥程度评价及时空分异[J].经济地理,2018,38(10):201-210. Kong Fanbin, Guo Qiaolin, Pan Dan. Evaluation on overfertilization and its spatial-temporal difference about major grain crops in China[J]. Economic Geography, 2018, 38(10):201-210.

姚成胜,李慧贤,杨一单.中国水稻生产与化肥施用的脱钩关系及其关联效应分析[J].中国农业资源与区划,2022,43(10):63-73. Yao Chengsheng, Li Huixian, Yang Yidan. Decoupling and correlation effect between rice production and chemical fertilizer application in China[J]. Chinese Journal of Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning, 2022,43(10):63-73.

贺飞,吕晓.山东省化肥施用量与粮食产量时空耦合格局研究[J].地理与地理信息科学,2023,39(4):96-102. He Fei, Lyu Xiao. Spatial-temporal coupling pattern of fertilizer application rate and grain yield in Shandong Province[J]. Geography and Geo-Information Science, 2023,39(4):96-102.

辛良杰,李秀彬,谈明洪.2000-2010年我国农业化肥施用的时空演变格局[J].中国农业大学学报,2013,18(5):21-27. Xin Liangjie, Li Xiubin, Tan Minghong. Spatial and temporal variations of agricultural chemical fertilization in China from 2000 to 2010[J]. Journal of China Agricultural University, 2013,18(5):21-27.

孙兆凯,冯欣,刘洋,等.中国化肥施用强度的时空分异特征[J].中国农业资源与区划,2022,43(9):168-178. Sun Zhaokai, Feng Xin, Liu Yang, et al. Temporal and spatial differentiation characteristics of fertilizer application intensity in China[J]. Chinese Journal of Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning, 2022,43(9):168-178.

赵雪雁,刘江华,王蓉,等.基于市域尺度的中国化肥施用与粮食产量的时空耦合关系[J].自然资源学报,2019,34(7):1471-1482. Zhao Xueyan, Liu Jianghua, Wang Rong, et al. Spatial-temporal coupling relationship between chemical fertilizer application and grain yield in China at city scale[J]. Journal of Natural Resources, 2019,34(7):1471-1482.

于元赫,李子君,姜爱霞,等.山东省农业化肥施用强度时空格局演变及驱动力分析[J].中国农业大学学报,2019,24(4):176-186. Yu Yuanhe, Li Zijun, Jiang Aixia, et al. Spatial-temporal patterns change and driving forces analysis of agricultural chemical fertilization intensity in Shandong Province[J]. Journal of China Agricultural University, 2019, 24(4):176-186.

陈同斌,曾希柏,胡清秀.中国化肥利用率的区域分异[J].地理学报,2002,57(5):531-538. Chen Tongbin, Zeng Xibo, Hu Qingxiu. Utilization efficiency of chemical fertilizers among different counties of China[J]. Acta Geographica Sinica, 2002,57(5):531-538.

杨建辉.中国化肥投入管制的时空演化及影响因素分析[J].地理科学,2018,38(9):1516-1524. Yang Jianhui. Spatio-temporal evolution and drivers of chemical fertilizer input's control in China[J]. Scientia Geographica Sinica, 2018,38(9):1516-1524.

王旭,李贞宇,马文奇,等.中国主要生态区小麦施肥增产效应分析[J].中国农业科学,2010,43(12):2469-2476. Wang Xu, Li Zhenyu, Ma Wenqi, et al. Effects of fertilization on yield increase of wheat in different agro-ecological regions of China[J]. Scientia Agricultura Sinica, 2010,43(12):2469-2476.

刘钦普,林振山,周亮.山东省化肥使用时空分异及潜在环境风险评价[J].农业工程学报,2015,31(7):208-214. Liu Qinpu, Lin Zhenshan, Zhou Liang. Spatio-temporal differentiation and environmental risk assessment of fertilization in Shandong Province, China[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering, 2015,31(7):208-214.

Bouwman A F, Beusen A H W, Lassaletta L, et al. Lessons from temporal and spatial patterns in global use of N and P fertilizer on cropland[J]. Scientific Reports, 2017,7(1):40366.

田沛佩,卢宏玮,李丹,等.2008-2017年中国地级市化肥施用碳足迹的时空演变格局[J].中国环境科学,2021,41(2):967-973. Tian Peipei, Lu Hongwei, Li Dan, et al. Spatial-temporal patterns of carbon footprint of fertilizer application in China during 2008 to 2017[J]. China Environmental Science, 2021,41(2):967-973.

Xin Liangjie, Li Xiubin, Tan Minghong. Temporal and regional variations of China's fertilizer consumption by crops during 1998-2008[J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2012,22(4):643-652.

潘丹.中国化肥消费强度变化驱动效应时空差异与影响因素解析[J].经济地理,2014,34(3):121-126. Pan Dan. The spatial-temporal difference of driving effects for fertilizer use intensity change and its determinants in China[J]. Economic Geography, 2014,34(3):121-126.

邹伟,张晓媛.土地经营规模对化肥使用效率的影响:以江苏省为例[J].资源科学,2019,41(7):1240-1249. Zou Wei, Zhang Xiaoyuan. Effects of land management scale on fertilizer use efficiency:Taking Jiangsu as an example[J]. Resources Science, 2019,41(7):1240-1249.

朱建军,徐宣国,郑军.农机社会化服务的化肥减量效应及作用路径研究:基于CRHPS数据[J].农业技术经济,2021(2):1-13. Zhu Jianjun, Xu Xuanguo, Zheng Jun. Researsh on chemical fertilizer reduction effect of agricultural machinery socialized service and action path:Based on CRHPS data[J]. Journal of Agrotechnical Economics, 2021(2):1-13

马丽,田华征,康蕾.黄河流域矿产资源开发的生态环境影响与空间管控路径[J].资源科学,2020,42(1):137-149. Ma Li, Tian Huazheng, Kang Lei. Eco-environmental impact and spatial control of mineral resources exploitation in the Yellow River Basin[J]. Resources Science, 2020,42(1):137-149.

熊鹰,黄利华,邹芳,等.基于县域尺度乡村地域多功能空间分异特征及类型划分:以湖南省为例[J].经济地理,2021,41(6):162-170. Xiong Ying, Huang Lihua, Zou Fang, et al. Multifunctional spatial characteristics of rural areas and their type identification based on county scale:A case of Hunan Province[J]. Economic Geography, 2021,41(6):162-170.

Anselin L. Local indicators of spatial association-LISA[J]. Geographical Analysis, 1995,27(2):93-115.

刘钦普,孙景荣,濮励杰.中国及欧美主要国家化肥施用强度与综合效率比较研究[J].农业工程学报,2020,36(14):9-16. Liu Qinpu, Sun Jingrong, Pu Lijie. Comparative study on fertilization intensity and integrated efficiency in China and Euro-American major countries[J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering, 2020,36(14):9-16.

潘晓东,李品,冯兆忠,等.2000-2015年中国地级市化肥使用量的时空变化特征[J].环境科学,2019,40(10):4733-4742. Pan Xiaodong, Li Pin, Feng Zhaozhong, et al. Spatial and Temporal Variations in Fertilizer Use Across Prefecture-level Cities in China from 2000 to 2015[J]. Environmental Science, 2019,40(10):4733-4742.

李明飞,张海莹,刘向华,等.黄河流域化肥施用强度区域分布及环境风险评价[J].河南大学学报(自然科学版),2022,52(2):146-153. Li Mingfei, Zhang Haiying, Liu Xianghua, et al. Regional distribution and environmental risk assessment of chemical fertilizer application intensity in the Yellow River basin[J]. Journal of Henan University (Natural Science), 2022,52(2):146-153.

许钰莎,赵颖文.主产区粮食增产影响因素及发展应对研究:基于南北主产区差异视角[J].西南农业学报,2023,36(8):1603-1611. Xu Yusha, Zhao Yingwen. Influencing factors and development countermeasures of grain increase in major producing areas:From perspective of differences between the north and the south[J]. Southwest China Journal of Agricultural Sciences, 2023,36(8):1603-1611.

浏览量

361

下载量

CSCD

文章被引用时，请邮件提醒。

提交

工具集

关联资源

黄河流域粮食主产区农业生态韧性时空演进及障碍因子

扶持政策对黄河流域资源型城市土地利用效率的影响

1985-2014年新疆玛纳斯灌区土壤盐渍化时空变化及成因

农牧交错带耕地数量变化对粮食产量影响的时空关联性——以内蒙古乌兰察布市为例

黄河流域内陆地表水体提取方法研究