南方红壤区自然灾害刚弹韧性社会评估——以福建省长汀县为例

胡康; 岳辉; 梁裕宁; 吴丽君; 朱萱; 钟子豪; 丁国昌

doi:10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.20230215.001

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南方红壤区自然灾害刚弹韧性社会评估——以福建省长汀县为例

试验研究

- 南方红壤区自然灾害刚弹韧性社会评估——以福建省长汀县为例
- Assessment of Rigid-Elastic-Resilient Society Responses to Natural Disasters in Red Soil Area of South China—A Case Study at Changting County, Fujian Province
- 水土保持通报 2023年43卷第1期页码：272-280
- 作者机构：
  
  1. 福建农林大学园林学院国家林业与草原局生态景观草工程技术研究中心,福建,福州,350002
  2. 长汀县水土保持事业局, 福建长汀,366300
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
  
  福建省水利厅项目“乡村水环境与生态景观规划设计模式及评价指标研究”(KLh20015A)。
- DOI：10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.20230215.001
  中图分类号： X43
- 纸质出版：2023
- 稿件说明：
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胡康, 岳辉, 梁裕宁, 等. 南方红壤区自然灾害刚弹韧性社会评估——以福建省长汀县为例[J]. 水土保持通报, 2023,43(1):272-280.

Hu Kang, Yue Hui, Liang Yuning, et al. Assessment of Rigid-Elastic-Resilient Society Responses to Natural Disasters in Red Soil Area of South China—A Case Study at Changting County, Fujian Province[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2023, 43(1): 272-280.
胡康, 岳辉, 梁裕宁, 等. 南方红壤区自然灾害刚弹韧性社会评估——以福建省长汀县为例[J]. 水土保持通报, 2023,43(1):272-280. DOI： 10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.20230215.001.

Hu Kang, Yue Hui, Liang Yuning, et al. Assessment of Rigid-Elastic-Resilient Society Responses to Natural Disasters in Red Soil Area of South China—A Case Study at Changting County, Fujian Province[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2023, 43(1): 272-280. DOI： 10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.20230215.001.

摘要

[目的] 探索建设更加强健、有效的自然灾害刚弹韧性社会途径，为南方红壤区防范化解重大自然灾害风险提供科学参考。[方法] 以南方红壤区典型受灾区福建省长汀县为例，从刚性抵御、弹性管控、韧性恢复3个维度构建了指标体系，利用熵权TOPSIS模型和耦合协调度模型定量评价了2006—2019年长汀县的自然灾害刚弹韧性社会综合水平及一级指标间的耦合协调性，并进行障碍度因子分析。[结果] ①长汀县的自然灾害刚弹韧性社会水平经历了由缓慢下降到显著增长的演化过程，在2006—2019年增长了0.461 6，总体呈现显著增长趋势。 ②长汀县自然灾害刚弹韧性社会的刚性抵御水平、弹性管控水平和韧性恢复水平总体呈现显著增长趋势，仅韧性恢复指数在2006—2010年呈明显下降趋势，由0.402 0下降至0.280 9。 ③在各项评价指标中，灾害监测能力、治安管理水平、第三产业比重、碳储存能力的下降以及水源涵养功能的减退是限制长汀县自然灾害刚弹韧性社会发展的关键因素。[结论] 从刚性抵御、弹性管控、韧性恢复3个维度对南方红壤区进行评估能较为有效、准确地反映该地区的自然灾害刚弹韧性社会综合水平。同时，应补齐发展短板，避免自然灾害刚性韧性社会出现衰退。

Abstract

[Objective] The method for building a society having robust and effective responses to natural disasters was determined in order to provide a scientific reference for preventing and reducing risks from major natural disasters in the red soil area of South China. [Methods] Changting County

Fujian Province was used as a typical disaster area in the red soil area of South China. An index system was constructed from three dimensions that included rigid resistance

elastic control

and resilient recovery. The entropy weight TOPSIS model and the coupling coordination model were used to quantitatively evaluate the comprehensive level and the coupling and coordination between the first level of rigid-elastic-resilient society responses to natural disasters in Changting County from 2006 to 2019. An obstacle factor analysis was conducted. [Results] ① The level of rigid-elastic-resilient society responses to natural disasters in Changting County evolved from a slow decline to a significant increase

with an increase of 0.4616 from 2006 to 2019

showing a significant growth trend overall. ② The rigid resistance level

elastic control level

and resilience recovery level of the rigid-elastic-resilient society responses to natural disasters in Changting County generally showed a significant growth trend. Only the resilience recovery index significantly decreased from 0.402 0 to 0.280 9 from 2006 to 2010. ③ Among various evaluation indicators

the decline of disaster monitoring capability

public security management level

proportion of tertiary industry

carbon storage capability

and water conservation function were the key factors restricting the development of the rigid-elastic-resilience society responses to natural disasters in Changting County. [Conclusion] The red soil area of South China was evaluated from three dimensions including rigid resistance

elastic control

and resilient recovery. These three dimensions effectively and accurately reflected the comprehensive level of rigid

elastic

and resilient society responses to natural disasters in the region. At the same time

the weak links in development should be strengthened to avoid the decline of rigid-elastic-resilient society responses to natural disasters.

关键词

Keywords

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