中国不透水面变化与社会经济协调发展的耦合关系

冯智涛; 刘珍环

doi:10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2021.06.033

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中国不透水面变化与社会经济协调发展的耦合关系

试验研究

- 中国不透水面变化与社会经济协调发展的耦合关系
- Coupling Relation Between Impervious Surface Area Change and Socio-economic Development in China
- 水土保持通报 2021年41卷第6期页码：257-264
- 作者机构：
  
  1. 中山大学地理科学与规划学院,广东,广州,510275
  2. 南方海洋科学与工程广东省实验室(珠海),广东,珠海,519000
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
  
  南方海洋科学与工程广东省实验室（珠海）创新团队建设项目“海洋人文地理创新团队项目”（311021018）
- DOI：10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2021.06.033
  中图分类号： F291;P748;TP79
- 纸质出版：2021
- 稿件说明：
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冯智涛, 刘珍环. 中国不透水面变化与社会经济协调发展的耦合关系[J]. 水土保持通报, 2021,41(6):257-264.

Feng Zhitao, Liu Zhenhuan. Coupling Relation Between Impervious Surface Area Change and Socio-economic Development in China[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2021, 41(6): 257-264.
冯智涛, 刘珍环. 中国不透水面变化与社会经济协调发展的耦合关系[J]. 水土保持通报, 2021,41(6):257-264. DOI： 10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2021.06.033.

Feng Zhitao, Liu Zhenhuan. Coupling Relation Between Impervious Surface Area Change and Socio-economic Development in China[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2021, 41(6): 257-264. DOI： 10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2021.06.033.

摘要

[目的] 探究21世纪以来中国不透水面与社会经济耦合协调发展动态，解析景观城市化与社会经济发展的矛盾与协同的时空格局，为开展差异化的区域水土保持和城乡发展策略制定提供科学依据。[方法] 运用脱钩模型和耦合协调度模型开展2000—2018年中国355个市域单元的不透水面与社会经济耦合协调发展的时空变化特征。[结果] ①中国不透水面持续扩张与社会经济发展整体上基本不同步，存在显著的区域差异。2000—2018年不透水面扩张总体上落后于经济发展，但东北和华北地区不透水面扩张速度相较于经济增长速度经历了从落后到超前的过程，弱脱钩类型占比下降了38.59%，负脱钩型占比上升了30.70%。不透水面与人口的耦合关系中，全国市域尺度的不透水面扩张基本超前于人口增长，其中华中、西北和西南等地最为显著，导致强负脱钩型占比增加了23.94%。②2000—2018年不透水面与社会经济的耦合协调度随不透水面变化率的上升而降低。在增长25%以下的不透水面变化率区间内，不透水面—经济与不透水面—人口的耦合协调关系，表现为显著的拮抗关系。[结论] 21世纪以来中国景观城市化过程与社会经济的动态关系趋向不协调，未来应严格控制城乡不透水面向外蔓延，提高土地集约利用程度，促进城乡可持续发展。

Abstract

[Objective] The dynamics of the coupling and coordinated development of impervious surface area (ISA) and socio-economic development in China since the 21st century was explored

and the spatiotemporal pattern of the contradictions and synergies between landscape urbanization and socio-economic development was analyzed

in order to provide a scientific basis for soil and water conservation

and the formulation of differentiated regional urban and rural development strategies.[Methods] The decoupling model and coupling coordination degree model were used to investigate the spatiotemporal variation characteristics of ISA and socio-economic coupling coordinated development in 355 prefectures in China from 2000 to 2018.[Results] ① The continuous expansion of ISA in China was inconsistent with the socio-economic development

which showed a significant regional difference. From 2000 to 2018

in the relationship of ISA-economy in each prefecture

the ISA growth generally lagged behind the economic development

except for northeast and north of Chinese prefectures experienced a process from lagging to overtake. Meanwhile

the proportion of weak decoupling type decrease by 38.59% and the proportion of negative decoupling type increased by 30.70%. In the relationship of ISA-population in each prefecture

ISA expansion rate was ahead of the population growth in most of prefectures

especially in central

northwest and southwest of Chinese prefectures. Moreover

the proportion of strong negative decoupling type increased by 23.94%. ② From 2000 to 2018

the degree of coupling coordination in ISA-economy-population decreased

while the expansion rate of ISA increased. As shown in the triangle diagram

the coupling coordination relationship between ISA-economy and ISA-population showed an antagonistic relationship

in a special region of ISA below 0.25.[Conclusion] Since the 21 st century

the dynamic relationship among ISA-economy-population in China tended to be uncoordinated. In the future

it is necessary to strictly control the outward spread of impervious surface in urban and rural areas

improve the land use intensity

and promote the sustainable development of urban and rural areas.

关键词

Keywords

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