甘肃农业大学 财经学院,甘肃,兰州,730070
纸质出版:2021
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岳思妤, 谈存峰, 杨林娟, 等. 甘肃省泾河流域2010-2019年农村生态环境质量分析及预测[J]. 水土保持通报, 2021,41(5):365-372.
Yue Siyu, Tan Cunfeng, Yang Linjuan, et al. Analysis and Prediction on Rural Eco-environmental Quality of Jinghe River Basin in Gansu Province During 2010-2019[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2021, 41(5): 365-372.
岳思妤, 谈存峰, 杨林娟, 等. 甘肃省泾河流域2010-2019年农村生态环境质量分析及预测[J]. 水土保持通报, 2021,41(5):365-372. DOI: 10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2021.05.046.
Yue Siyu, Tan Cunfeng, Yang Linjuan, et al. Analysis and Prediction on Rural Eco-environmental Quality of Jinghe River Basin in Gansu Province During 2010-2019[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2021, 41(5): 365-372. DOI: 10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2021.05.046.
[目的] 研究甘肃省泾河流域农村生态环境质量评价的相关问题,为农村生态环境保护和高质量发展研究提供参考。[方法] 基于压力—状态—响应(PSR)模型,构建了甘肃省泾河流域农村生态环境质量评价指标体系。运用熵值法和综合指数法对生态环境质量水平进行评价,并采用灰色GM (1,1)模型进行预测。[结果] 2010—2019年农村生态环境质量综合指数等级变化趋势为“劣等—差等—中等”,但总体呈现上升趋势,压力指数呈“Ⅴ”型波动变化,状态指数和响应指数逐年增长,说明环境治理的政策实施有效,预计到2021年将达到良好等级。[结论] 今后还需加大农村环保的资金和政策投入,改善各地环保制度措施,增强民众意识等。
[Objective] Issues related to rural eco-environmental quality assessment in the Jinghe River basin of Gansu Province were studied in order to provide references for rural eco-environmental protection and high-quality development research.[Methods] Based on the pressure-state-response (PSR) model
a rural eco-environmental quality evaluation index system for the Jinghe River basin in Gansu Province was constructed. The eco-environmental quality level was evaluated using the entropy method and the comprehensive index method. The model was predicted by using gray GM (1
1).[Results] The grade change trend of the comprehensive index of rural eco-environmental quality from 2010 to 2019 was "bad-poor-medium"
but the overall trend was increasing. The pressure index exhibited a V-shaped change pattern
and the state index and response index increased year by year
indicating that the implementation of environmental governance policies were effective. The index was expected to reach a good level by 2021.[Conclusion] In the future
it is necessary to increase investment in rural environmental protection funds and policies in order to improve local environmental protection systems and measures
and to enhance public awareness.
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