[Objective] The characteristics of land use change from 2009 to 2017 were analyzed

and the spatial pattern of land use in 2025 of Ningxia eco-economic belt along the Yellow River was simulated in oreder to provide guidance for land development

utilization and protection of the studied area

and to provide reference for the preparation of land space planning.[Methods] Based on the time scale and spatial scale

this study analyzed the changes in land use from 2009 to 2017

calculated the probability matrix for land transfer

and used the CA-Markov model to simulate the land use pattern in 2025 of Ningxia eco-economic belt along the Yellow River based on natural development

land planning

cultivated land and ecological protection scenarios.[Results] All kinds of construction and the cultivated land and other agricultural land exhibited a continuous increase in the Ningxia eco-economic belt along the Yellow River from 2009 to 2017

meanwhile

the garden land

forest land

grassland

water area

natural reservations were reduced. Except for water area and other construction land

the conversion probability of other types of land to urban and rural construction land were generally higher

especially the conversion probability of cultivated land to urban and rural construction land was the highest

reaching 10.65%.[Conclusion] Based on the three scenarios

the land use structure of the Ningxia eco-economic belt along the Yellow River in 2025 is still dominated by grassland

arable land and natural reservations. However

with the acceleration of urbanization and the continuous improvement of infrastructure

the increase in the land used for urban and rural construction

transportation and irrigation works is much more.