1. 河南大学 黄河中下游数字地理技术教育部重点实验室,河南,开封,475004
2. 河北省科学院地理科学研究所,河北,石家庄,050011
3. 洛阳师范学院 国土与旅游学院,河南,洛阳,471934
纸质出版:2018
移动端阅览
崔耀平, 路婧琦, 刘素洁, 等. 我国春玉米物候变化趋势及其与水热条件的关系[J]. 水土保持通报, 2018,38(2):82-86.
CUI Yaoping, LU Jingqi, LIU Sujie, et al. Phenology Variations of Spring Maize and Their Correlations with Hydrothermal Conditions in China[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2018, 38(2): 82-86.
崔耀平, 路婧琦, 刘素洁, 等. 我国春玉米物候变化趋势及其与水热条件的关系[J]. 水土保持通报, 2018,38(2):82-86. DOI: 10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2018.02.014.
CUI Yaoping, LU Jingqi, LIU Sujie, et al. Phenology Variations of Spring Maize and Their Correlations with Hydrothermal Conditions in China[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2018, 38(2): 82-86. DOI: 10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2018.02.014.
[目的]分析春玉米关键物候的时空变化情况,并探讨气候与物候对应的相关关系,为从整体上把握我国农业生产状况、评估气候变化下的作物生产和适应情况提供科学依据。[方法]利用空间分析方法找到距离作物物候观测站点最邻近的气象站点,并采用经典统计学方法,研究春玉米物候变化趋势及其与水热条件的关系。[结果]①2000-2013年中国春玉米生育期内大部分站点的降水量增加,而出现升、降温趋势的站点数基本相同。②春玉米生育期历时与平均温呈负相关,平均温每升高1℃,春玉米整个生育期将缩短4.58 d;而春玉米生育期历时基本不受到降水量变化的影响。[结论]温度负相作用于春玉米的生育期历时,但是温度的升、降温趋势在全国站点上并不统一。
[Objective] Analyzing the temporal and spatial changes of key phenological periods of spring maize and exploring the relationships between phenology and hydrothermal factors
to provide scientific references for understanding production and adaption of crop in the background of climate change.[Methods] Data of meteorological stations that are mostly closed to our phenological observation sites were used. Classical statistics were used to analyze the variation trend of phenology of spring maize and the relationships between phenology and hydrothermal conditions.[Results] ① Meteorological stations were observed having roughly equal increased and decreased trends during the growth period of spring maize
however
the precipitation showed an increased trend in most stations. ② There was a negative correlation between the length of growth period(GP) of spring maize and mean air temperature during 2000-2013. The length of GP was observed been affected by air temperature and it was shortened by 4.58 days when air temperature rose by 1.0℃
it was hardly affected by precipitation.[Conclusion] Air temperature showed a negative effect on the length of growth period. Warming and cooling trends of nationwide meteorological stations were both observed during 2000-2013.
路婧琦,崔耀平,张帅帅,等.气候变化下水肥及CO
2
对冬小麦生长的影响模拟[J].中国农学通报,2015,31(33):27-36.
王铮,郑一萍.全球变化对中国粮食安全的影响分析[J].地理研究,2001,20(3):282-289.
Cui Yaoping, Ning Xiaojü, Qin Yaochen, et al. Spatio-temporal changes in agricultural hydrothermal conditions in China from 1951 to 2010[J]. Journal of Geographical Sciences, 2016,26(6):643-657.
Stocker T. Climate change 2013:The physical science basis:Working group I contribution to the fifth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change[M]. England:Cambridge University Press, 2014.
Palut M P J, Canziani O F. Contribution of working groupⅡto the fourth assessment report of the intergovernmental panel on climate change[M]. England:Cambridge University Press, 2007.
任国玉,郭军,徐铭志,等.近50 a中国地面气候变化基本特征[J].气象学报,2005,63(6):948-952.
韦振锋,任志远,张翀,等.1999-2010年陕甘宁黄土高原区气候对指标物候的影响[J].水土保持通报,2014,34(5):232-236.
翟治芬,胡玮,严昌荣,等.中国玉米生育期变化及其影响因子研究[J].中国农业科学,2012,45(22):4587-4603.
侯英雨,王良宇,毛留喜,等.基于气候适宜度的东北地区春玉米发育期模拟模型[J].生态学杂志,2012,31(9):2431-2436.
杨贤为,黄朝迎,张强.东北春玉米生长发育气象条件的适应性分析[J].气象,1993,19(10):25-28.
肖登攀,齐永青,王仁德,等.1981-2009年新疆小麦和玉米物候期与气候条件变化研究[J].干旱地区农业研究,2015,33(6):189-194.
李正国,杨鹏,唐华俊,等.近20 a来东北三省春玉米物候期变化趋势及其对温度的时空响应[J].生态学报,2013,33(18):5818-5827.
金之庆,葛道阔,郑喜莲,等.评价全球气候变化对我国玉米生产的可能影响[J].作物学报,1996,22(5):513-524.
孙颔,沈煜清,石玉林.中国农业自然资源与区域发展[M].江苏南京:江苏科学技术出版社,1994.
郑景云,尹云鹤,李炳元.中国气候区划新方案[J].地理学报,2010,65(1):3-12.
Tao Fulu, Yokozawa M, Xu Yinlong, et al. Climate changes and trends in phenology and yields of field crops in China,1981-2000[J]. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 2006,138(1/4):82-92.
Tao Fulu, Zhang Shuai, Zhang Zhao, et al. Maize growing duration was prolonged across china in the past three decades under the combined effects of temperature, agronomic management, and cultivar shift[J]. Global Change Biology, 2004,20(12):3686-3699.
周秀杰,王凤玲,吴玉影,等.近60 a来黑龙江与东北及全国气温变化特点分析[J].自然灾害学报,2013,22(2):124-129.
杜国明,张露洋,徐新良,等.近50 a气候驱动下东北地区玉米生产潜力时空演变分析[J].地理研究,2016,35(5):864-874.
Cui Yaoping. Preliminary estimation of the realistic optimum temperature for vegetation growth in China[J]. Environmental Management, 2013,52:151-162.
葛全胜,戴君虎,郑景云.物候学研究进展及中国现代物候学面临的挑战[J].中国科学院院刊,2010,25(3):310-316.
Dong Jinwei. Xiao Xiangming. Zhang Geli. et al. Northward expansion of paddy rice in northeastern Asia during2000-2014[J]. Geophysical Research Letters, 2016,43:3754-3761.
Xiao Dengpan, Tao Fulu, Shen Yanjun, et al. Combined impact of climate change, cultivar shift, and sowing date on spring wheat phenology in northern China[J]. Journal of Meteorological Research, 2016,30(5):820-831.
Li Zhengguo, Yang Peng, Tang Hhuajun, et al. Response of maize phenology to climate warming in northeast China between 1990 and 2012[J]. Regional Environmental Change, 2014,14(1):39-48.
0
浏览量
761
下载量
1
CSCD
关联资源
相关文章
相关作者
相关机构
京公网安备11010802024621