1. 陕西学前师范学院 环境与资源管理系,陕西,西安,710100
2. 南京信息工程大学 地理与遥感学院,江苏,南京,210044
纸质出版:2018
移动端阅览
邢兰芹, 姚众众. 江苏省1971-2010年气候生产潜力变化特征[J]. 水土保持通报, 2018,38(1):252-255.
XING Lanqin, YAO Zhongzhong. Characteristic Change of Climatic Potential Productivity in Jiangsu Province from 1971 to 2010[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2018, 38(1): 252-255.
邢兰芹, 姚众众. 江苏省1971-2010年气候生产潜力变化特征[J]. 水土保持通报, 2018,38(1):252-255. DOI: 10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2018.01.044.
XING Lanqin, YAO Zhongzhong. Characteristic Change of Climatic Potential Productivity in Jiangsu Province from 1971 to 2010[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2018, 38(1): 252-255. DOI: 10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2018.01.044.
[目的]根据江苏省13个气象站1971-2010年40 a的气象资料剖析该区域温度生产潜力、降水生产潜力及气候生产潜力变化特征,为提高农业生产提供理论依据。[方法]运用Miami和Thornthwaite Memorial模型计算全省温度生产潜力、降水生产潜力和气候生产潜力。运用气候资源利用率公式、相关分析和回归分析法分析探讨江苏省气候资源利用率情况和气候生产潜力的影响因素。[结果]①40 a间,江苏省年均气温呈现出波动性上升趋势,年均降水并未表现出规律性变化;温度生产潜力和降水生产潜力的变化规律与年均气温和年均降水相似;②气候生产潜力呈现波动微弱增加趋势,气候资源利用率表现出波动性上升趋势。[结论]气候生产潜力受年均降水的影响微弱,受温度的影响相对更大。
[Objective] The aim of this study is to analyze the potential productivity of temperature
precipitation and climate according to the 40 years meteorological data at 13 weather stations in Jiangsu Province between 1971 and 2010
in order to provide theoretical basis for agricultural industry.[Methods] Based on meteorological data from 13 weather stations
the Miami and Thornthwaite Memorial models were used to calculate the potential productivity of temperature
precipitation and climate. The factors affecting the utilization rate of climate resources and the climatic potential productivity in Jiangsu Province were analyzed by using climate resource utilization formula
correlation analysis and regression analysis.[Results] ① In the past 40 years
the annual average temperature in Jiangsu Province showed an upward trend
and the annual precipitation did not show a regular change. The potential productivity of temperature and precipitation showed a similar trend as the annual mean temperature and annual precipitation. ② The climatic potential productivity showed a slight increase trend
and the climatic resource utilization rate showed a fluctuated rising trend.[Conclusion] Temperature is the main factor that influences climatic potential productivity in Jiangsu Province.
黄秉维.中国农业生产潜力-光合潜力-农业生态环境研究[M].北京:气象出版社,1989:17-24.
侯西勇.1951-2000年中国气候生产潜力时空动态特征[J].干旱区地理,2008,31(5):723-730.
肖国强,张强,工静.全球气候变化对农业生态系统的影响研究进展[J].应用生态学报,2007,18(8):1877-1885.
张强,王静.全球气候变化对农业生态系统的影响研究进展[J]. 应用生态学报,2007,18(8):1877-1885.
郭岐峰,傅硕龄.我国农业生产潜力的研究进展[J].地理研究,1992,11(4):105-115.
罗永忠,成自勇,郭小芹.近40 a甘肃省气候生产潜力时空变化特征[J].生态学报,2011,31(1):221-229.
沈思渊,席承藩.淮北涡河流域农业自然生产潜力模型与分析[J].自然资源学报,1991,6(1):22-33.
钟章奇,王铮,夏海滨,等.全球气候变化下中国农业生产潜力的空间演变[J].自然资源学报,2015,30(12):2018-2031.
Kaminski J, Kan I, Fleischer A. Structural land-use analysis of agricultural adaptation to climate change:A proactive approach[J]. American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 2013,95(1):70-93.
陈国南.用迈阿密模型测算我国生物生产力的初步尝试[J].自然资源学报,1987,2(3):270-278.
赵安,赵小敏. FAO-AEZ法计算气候生产潜力的模型及应用分析[J].江西农业大学学报,1998,20(4):528-533.
林忠辉,莫兴国,项月琴.作物生长模型研究综述[J].作物学报,2003,29(5):750-758.
Leith H. Modeling the primary productivity of the world[J]. Nature and Resources, 1972,8(2):5-10.
吴宜进,熊安元,杨荆安,等.湖北的气候生产力与农业持续发展[J].长江流域资源与环境,1999,8(4):405-410.
0
浏览量
1034
下载量
0
CSCD
关联资源
相关文章
相关作者
相关机构
京公网安备11010802024621