岩溶生态脆弱区水安全动态模拟及其演变机制

苏印; 官冬杰; 苏维词

doi:10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2016.04.002

您当前的位置：

首页 >

文章列表页 >

岩溶生态脆弱区水安全动态模拟及其演变机制

水保监测与应用技术

- 岩溶生态脆弱区水安全动态模拟及其演变机制
- Development Simulation of Water Security and Its Evolvement Law in Karst Ecological Fragile Area
- 水土保持通报 2016年36卷第4期页码：9-15
- 作者机构：
  
  1. 重庆交通大学建筑与城市规划学院,重庆,400074
  2. 重庆师范大学地理与旅游学院,重庆,400047
  3. 贵州科学院山地资源研究所,贵州,贵阳,550001
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
  
  国家自然科学基金项目“三峡库区生态安全后续发展动态模拟及其可视化预警评价”（41201546）;国家十二五科技支撑计划项目（2012BAJ25B09）;重庆市自然科学基金项目（cstc2012jjA20010）;重庆市研究生科研创新项目（CYS14159）
- DOI：10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2016.04.002
  中图分类号：
- 纸质出版：2016
- 稿件说明：
移动端阅览
苏印, 官冬杰, 苏维词. 岩溶生态脆弱区水安全动态模拟及其演变机制[J]. 水土保持通报, 2016,36(4):9-15.

SU Yin, GUAN Dongjie, SU Weici. Development Simulation of Water Security and Its Evolvement Law in Karst Ecological Fragile Area[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2016, 36(4): 9-15.
苏印, 官冬杰, 苏维词. 岩溶生态脆弱区水安全动态模拟及其演变机制[J]. 水土保持通报, 2016,36(4):9-15. DOI： 10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2016.04.002.

SU Yin, GUAN Dongjie, SU Weici. Development Simulation of Water Security and Its Evolvement Law in Karst Ecological Fragile Area[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2016, 36(4): 9-15. DOI： 10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2016.04.002.

摘要

[目的] 揭示影响贵州省城市水安全的主要驱动因子，为贵州省相关部门提供参考和科学依据。[方法] 基于系统动力学方法建立水安全系统模型，仿真模拟贵州省水安全系统的贵阳模式、遵义模式、毕节模式和协调型模式4种不同模式下的水资源子系统、水环境子系统、水灾害子系统的发展演变规律。[结果] 农业灌溉用水定额、水土流失面积比、水质达标率和环境资本投资率是贵州省水安全系统的主要驱动因子；在协调型模式下，贵州省水安全系统在2025年以前处于最佳状态，比其他3种模式优越。[结论] 在不同情景模式的模拟下，只有在协调型模式下水资源子系统、水环境子系统、水灾害子系统处于最佳状态，能够获得最大的经济效益和环境效益。

Abstract

[Objective] The impact factors of urban water security in Guizhou Province were studied to provide basis for policy-making of local government. [Methods] A water security system model for Guizhou Province

China was established using system dynamics(SD) method. In the model

data of water security system from 2005 to 2025 were used and four scenarios(Guiyang model

Zunyi model

Bijie model and concerted development model) were analyzed. [Results] The major driving factors of the water security system in Guizhou Province included the agricultural irrigation water quota

soil and water losses area

ratio up to the standard of water quality and the investment of environmental protection. The concerted development model is the best solution for water security system by 2025 in Guizhou Province for the four scenarios. [Conclusion] In terms of water resource

water environment and water disaster

the concerted development model was proved to be a profitable solution both in economy and environment.

关键词

Keywords

references

秦年秀,陈喜,薛显武.等.气候变化对乌江流域水文水资源的影响[J].河海大学学报,2011,39(6):623-628.

高彦春,刘昌明.区域水资源系统仿真预测及优化决策研究:以汉中盆地平坝区为例[J].自然资源学报,1996,11(1):23-32.

刘昌明,陈志凯.中国水资源现状评价和供需发展趋势分析[M].北京:中国水利水电出版社,2001.

Martijnvanden H, Ellen M, Sander M. Water safety and spatial development: An institutional comparison between the United Kingdom and the Netherlands [J]. Land Use Policy, 2014,36(1):416-426.

Godwin S, Chen F, Stone R, et al. Microbiological Safety of water used for Irrigating Produce [J]. Journal of the American Dietetic Association, 2010,110(9):55-66.

Pamm P, Paul T. Water management in sport [J]. Sport Management Review, 2014,17(3):376-389.

Lucija Muehlenbachs, Mark A C, Todd G. The impact of water depth on safety and environmental performance in offshore oil and gas production[J]. Energy Policy, 2013,55(4):699-705.

Bassi F, Crivellini A, Dossena V. Investigation of flow phenomena in air-water safety relief valves by means of a discontinuous Galerkin solver[J]. Computers & Fluids, 2014,90(10):57-64.

Martin P, Andras H. Conservation concept for a river ecosystem impacted by flow abstraction in a large post mining area [J]. Landscape and Planning, 2000,51(2):165-176.

Yakimenko A N. Estimation of water quality of the Kiev reservoir by indices of radiation safety [J]. Journal of Water Chemistry and Technology, 2013,35(4):189-193.

Jishi Zhang, Yongqiu Zhang, Ruifeng Pu, et al. Safety analysis of water resources and eco-environment in Shiyang River Basin[J]. Chinese Geographical Science, 2005,15(3):238-244.

Shchedrin V N, Kosichenko Y M. Safety problems of water-development works designed for land reclamation [J]. Power Technology and Engineering, 2011,45(4):264-269.

熊鹰,李静芝,蒋丁玲.基于仿真模拟的长株潭城市群水资源供需系统决策优化[J].地理学报,2013,68(9):1225-1239.

Tian HAO, Pengfei Du, Yun Gao. Water environment security indicator system for urban water management [J]. Frontiers of Environmental Science and Engineering in China, 2012,6(5):678-691.

曹琦,陈兴鹏,师满江.基于DPSIR概念的城市水资源安全评价及调控[J].资源科学,2012,34(8):1591-1599.

陈雪,刘光有.系统动力学在阿什河流域水污染控制规划中的应用[J].环境科学与管理,2010,35(5):73-76.

郭怀成.洛阳城市水污染控制系统研究[J].地理学报,1988,43(4):318-328.

何仁伟,刘邵权,刘运伟.基于系统动力学的中国西南岩溶区的水资源承载力:以贵州省毕节地区为例[J].地理科学,2011,31(11):1376-1382.

黄晓亚,陈喜,张志才,等.西南岩溶地区降雨集中度及其变化特征分析:以乌江流域中上游为例[J].地球与环境,2013,41(3):203-208.

浏览量

1603

下载量

CSCD

文章被引用时，请邮件提醒。

提交

工具集

关联资源

典型喀斯特灌丛草坡类型区土壤水变化规律研究

基于地质尺度的贵州省区域水土流失特征分析

贵州省水土保持监测点观测数据整编方案及分析评价方法

金沙江干热河谷坡面水土流失系统动力学仿真模拟

贵州省水土保持监测点径流小区存在问题与优化对策