1. 南京农业大学资源与环境科学研究院,江苏,南京,210095
2. 常州工学院艺术与设计学院,江苏,常州,213002
纸质出版:2015
移动端阅览
吴颖超, 王震, 曹磊, 等. 基于突变级数法的徐州市近10年水环境承载力评价[J]. 水土保持通报, 2015,35(2):231-235.
WU Yingchao, WANG Zhen, CAO Lei, et al. Evaluation on Water Environment Carrying Capacity of Xuzhou City in Recent 10 Years Based on Catastrophe Progression Method[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2015, 35(2): 231-235.
吴颖超, 王震, 曹磊, 等. 基于突变级数法的徐州市近10年水环境承载力评价[J]. 水土保持通报, 2015,35(2):231-235. DOI: 10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2015.02.044.
WU Yingchao, WANG Zhen, CAO Lei, et al. Evaluation on Water Environment Carrying Capacity of Xuzhou City in Recent 10 Years Based on Catastrophe Progression Method[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2015, 35(2): 231-235. DOI: 10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2015.02.044.
[目的] 研究徐州市近10 a水环境承载力状况
为完善区域水环境承载力研究体系提供理论支撑。[方法] 从水资源承载力和水污染承载力两方面选取指标
采用改进熵值法对指标进行重要性排序
建立基于突变级数法的区域水环境承载力评价模型。[结果] (1)研究区各目标年水资源承载力水平总体偏低
年际波动较大
其中2002
2006和2010年处于等级Ⅰ水平
即弱承载状态;(2)水污染承载力整体呈上升趋势
从2005年开始达到并保持在等级Ⅲ水平;(3)徐州市水环境承载力仅2005和2009年达到等级Ⅲ水平
为中承载状态
其余年份均在等级Ⅲ水平以下。[结论] 徐州市近10 a水环境承载力状况从2003年开始有所改善
但依然普遍较差。水资源承载力因其具有人为不可控的自然属性
成为影响徐州市水环境承载力的限制因素。
[Objective] This paper aimed at studying the water environment carrying capacity of Xuzhou City in recent ten years
in order to provide theoretical supports for improving the research systerm of regional water environment carrying capacity.[Methods] The index system was established from two aspects:water resources carrying capacity and water pollution bearing capacity. And the improved entropy method was used to reorder the indices. Then
the model of regional water environment carrying capacity based on the catastrophe progression method was built and applied to the evaluation.[Results] (1) The water resource carrying capacity was overall low in each year
and had large inter-yearly variation. Especially in the years of 2002
2006 and 2010
the water resource carrying capacity was at level Ⅰ; (2) On the whole
the water pollution bearing capacity had climbed and had a sign of getting steady; (3) The water environment carrying capacity of Xuzhou City were at level Ⅲ only in 2005 and 2009
while the other years were below level Ⅲ.[Conclusion] Although the water environmental carrying capacity of Xuzhou City had shown some improvement since 2003
it was relatively poor. Due to the uncontrollable natural attributes
the water resources carrying capacity is the main factors that would limit the water environment carrying capacity of Xuzhou City.
王俭,孙铁珩,李培军,等.基于人工神经网络的区域水环境承载力评价模型及其应用[J].生态学杂志,2007,26(1):139-144.
张会涓,陈然,赵言文.基于模糊物元模型的区域水环境承载力研究[J].水土保持通报,2012,32(2):186-189.
来雪慧,王小文,徐杰峰,等.基于向量模法的陕南地区水环境承载力评价[J].水土保持通报,2010,30(2):56-59.
王俭,李雪亮,李法云,等.基于系统动力学的辽宁省水环境承载力模拟与预测[J].应用生态学报,2009,20(9):2233-2240.
王金南,于雷,万军,等.长江三角洲地区城市水环境承载力评估[J].中国环境科学,2013,33(6):1147-1151.
李明武,陈玲.徐州市区水环境问题及对策[J].能源技术与管理,2006(3):51-53.
凌复华.突变理论的原理和应用[M].上海:上海交通大学出版社,1997.
Collie J S, Richardson K, Steele J H. Regime shifts:can ecological theory illuminate the mechanisms?[J]. Progress in Oceanography, 2004, 60(2):281-302.
陈云峰,孙殿义,陆根法.突变级数法在生态适宜度评价中的应用[J].生态学报,2006,26(8):2587-2593.
张端梅,梁秀娟,李钦伟,等.基于突变理论的吉林西部灌区地下水环境风险评价[J].农业机械学报,2013,44(1):95-100.
魏婷,朱晓东,李杨帆,等.突变级数法在厦门城市生态安全评价中的应用[J].应用生态学报,2008,19(7):1522-1528.
赵卫,刘景双,孔凡娥.水环境承载力研究述评[J].水土保持研究,2007,14(1):47-50.
孟凡生,李美莹.我国能源消费影响因素评价研究:基于突变级数法和改进熵值法的分析[J].系统工程,2012,30(8):10-15.
徐琳瑜,康鹏,刘仁志.基于突变理论的工业园区环境承载力动态评价方法[J].中国环境科学,2013,33(6):1127-1136.
0
浏览量
1160
下载量
0
CSCD
关联资源
相关文章
相关作者
相关机构
京公网安备11010802024621