陕西师范大学旅游与环境学院,陕西,西安,710062
纸质出版:2014
移动端阅览
韩晓敏, 延军平, 李敏敏, 等. 辽宁省旱涝灾害与太阳黑子活动的相关性[J]. 水土保持通报, 2014,33(3):231-235.
HAN Xiao-min, YAN Jun-ping, LI Min-min, et al. Correlation Between Drought and Flood Disasters and Sunspot Activities in Liaoning Province[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2014, 33(3): 231-235.
韩晓敏, 延军平, 李敏敏, 等. 辽宁省旱涝灾害与太阳黑子活动的相关性[J]. 水土保持通报, 2014,33(3):231-235. DOI: 10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2014.03.046.
HAN Xiao-min, YAN Jun-ping, LI Min-min, et al. Correlation Between Drought and Flood Disasters and Sunspot Activities in Liaoning Province[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2014, 33(3): 231-235. DOI: 10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2014.03.046.
应用辽宁省1956-2011年22个气象台站的逐月降水资料
通过Z指数确定了该地区的旱涝等级及发生年份;采用频率分析法分析了太阳黑子极值年附近的旱涝特征;运用Morlet小波分析技术
对辽宁省近56 a来降水Z指数与太阳黑子的小波系数变化进行了分析。结果表明: (1) 该地区近56 a中旱涝发生频率基本相等
旱涝情况整体趋势为由涝转旱
尤其是进入21世纪后
旱灾发生次数明显增多
呈现干旱化现象。(2) 各年太阳黑子数与该地区的Z指数整体上呈负相关关系;该地区在太阳黑子峰值年或峰值年附近易出现旱年
在太阳黑子谷值年或谷值年附近易出现涝年。(3) 太阳黑子与Z指数在7~11 a有较好的对应关系
太阳黑子的活跃期对应降水偏少期
太阳黑子的低谷期对应降水丰沛期
说明太阳黑子的变化对辽宁省降水有较大的影响
未来几年处于太阳黑子的活跃期附近
为降水偏少期。
Applying the monthly precipitation data of 22 stations in Liaoning Province from 1956 to 2011
the grads and years of droughts and floods were determined by Z index. Characteristics of droughts and floods nearby the sunspot extreme years were analyzed by frequency analysis method. Morlet wavelet analysis was made to analyze the changes of the Z index and sunspot. Results show that: (1) The frequency of droughts and floods was the same in the province in the past 56 years. The overall trend was from flood to dry
especially when entering in the 21 century. The drought frequency increased significantly
showing a drought phenomenon. (2) The sunspot number and the drought and flood phenomenon in Liaoning Province showed a negative relationship. The area appeared to be a drought year in sunspot peak and a flood year in sunspot valley. (3) There was a relationship between the drought and flood cycle and sunspot cycle in 7~11 years
and the change of sunspot number influenced the droughts and floods in Liaoning Province. In the next few years
sunspots will be near the active period and precipitation will decrease correspondingly.
章国材.防御和减轻气象灾害:2006年世界气象日主题[J].气象,2006,32(3):3-5.
马建勇,许吟隆,潘婕.东北地区农业气象灾害的趋势变化及其对粮食产量的影响[J].中国农业气象,2012,33(2):283-288.
王家龙,孙静兰.太阳活动及其对地球环境的影响[J].第四纪研究,2002,22(6):510-522.
Zhao Juan, Han Yanben, Li Zhian.The effect of solar activity on the annual precipitation in the Beijing Area[J]. Chinese Journal of Astronomy and Astro-phsics, 2004,4(2):189-197.
董立峰.黄河三角洲旱涝灾害与太阳黑子的相关性[J].滨州学院学报,2010,26(6):37-41.
赵小娟,延军平.不同诱灾因子对秦岭南北旱涝灾害影[J].灾害学,2009,24(3):57-60.
张强,鞠笑生,李淑华.三种干旱指标的比较和新指标的确定[J].气象科技,1998,28(3):248-252.
史建国,严昌荣.气象干旱指数研究方法概述[J].中国农业气象,2007,28(S):191-195.
刘贤赵,张安定,李嘉竹.地理学数学方法[M].北京:科学出版社,2009:190-202.
韩延本,韩永刚.太阳黑子相对数变化的小波分析[J].科学通报,2001,46(24):2031-2035.
徐金梧,班晓娟.基于小波分析的某些非平稳时间序列预测方法[J].电子学报,2002,29(4):566-568
鞠笑生,杨贤为,陈丽娟,等.我国单站旱涝指标确定和区域旱涝级别划分的研究[J].应用气象学报,1997,8(1):26-33.
窦睿音,延军平.关中平原太阳黑子活动周期与旱涝灾害的相关性分析[J].干旱区资源与环境,2013,27(8):76-82.
董安祥,祝小妮,郭慧.太阳活动与西北地区降水[J].甘肃科学学报,1999,11(4):114-117.
李可军,向福元,李建勇.中纬度地区的洪水与太阳活动关系的研究[J].云南天文台台刊,2000,2(5):34-38.
李恩菊,赵景波.厄尔尼诺/拉尼娜事件对山东省气候的影响[J].干旱区资源与环境,2010,38(3):80-84.
0
浏览量
1171
下载量
0
CSCD
关联资源
相关文章
相关作者
相关机构
京公网安备11010802024621