基于生态足迹定量分析的土地利用结构优化研究——以江苏省徐州市为例

奚砚涛; 牛坤; 薛丽芳

doi:10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2014.02.060

您当前的位置：

首页 >

文章列表页 >

基于生态足迹定量分析的土地利用结构优化研究——以江苏省徐州市为例

试验研究

- 基于生态足迹定量分析的土地利用结构优化研究——以江苏省徐州市为例
- A Stndy on Optimization of Land Use Structure Based on Quantitative Analysis of Ecological Footprint-A Case Study of Xuzhou City, Jiangsu Province
- 水土保持通报 2014年33卷第2期页码：293-299
- 作者机构：
  
  1. 中国矿业大学资源与地球科学学院,江苏,徐州,221116
  2. 六盘水师范学院矿业工程系,贵州,六盘水,553004
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
  
  国家自然科学基金项目"面向流域的城市化水文效应与城市可持续发展研究"(41201166);国家国际科技合作专项(2012DFG22140);江苏高校优势学科建设工程项目
- DOI：10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2014.02.060
  中图分类号：
- 纸质出版：2014
- 稿件说明：
移动端阅览
奚砚涛, 牛坤, 薛丽芳. 基于生态足迹定量分析的土地利用结构优化研究——以江苏省徐州市为例[J]. 水土保持通报, 2014,33(2):293-299.

XI Yan-tao, NIU Kun, XUE Li-fang. A Stndy on Optimization of Land Use Structure Based on Quantitative Analysis of Ecological Footprint-A Case Study of Xuzhou City, Jiangsu Province[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2014, 33(2): 293-299.
奚砚涛, 牛坤, 薛丽芳. 基于生态足迹定量分析的土地利用结构优化研究——以江苏省徐州市为例[J]. 水土保持通报, 2014,33(2):293-299. DOI： 10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2014.02.060.

XI Yan-tao, NIU Kun, XUE Li-fang. A Stndy on Optimization of Land Use Structure Based on Quantitative Analysis of Ecological Footprint-A Case Study of Xuzhou City, Jiangsu Province[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2014, 33(2): 293-299. DOI： 10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2014.02.060.

摘要

生态足迹是定量研究区域可持续发展的一种重要方法。运用生态足迹方法分析了徐州市1989-2008年生态足迹和生态承载力的动态变化

并利用生态足迹和生态承载力等指标对江苏省徐州市土地利用可持续性进行了评估。结果表明

徐州市人均生态足迹由1989年的1.13 hm

上升到2008年的2.57 hm

;人均生物承载力由1989年的0.580 hm

下降到2008年的0.450 hm

;人均生态赤字由1989年的0.550 hm

上升到2008年的2.100 hm

表明徐州市土地集约化程度低。采用线性回归模型对该区人口进行预测

采用灰色预测模型对2010-2015年的生态足迹变化情况进行了预测

在此基础上

构建了基于生态足迹方法的多目标线性规划模型

以生态赤字最小化和经济效益最大化为目标函数

设置了7个变量

制定了9个约束条件。根据模型求解优化方案

对徐州市土地利用结构进行了优化调整。

Abstract

Ecological footprint method is an effective approach for quantitative evaluatation of the regional sustainable development. Dynamic changes of ecological footprint(EF) and ecological capacity(EC) were analyzed based on ecological footprint method and land use sustainability was assessed using EF

EC and other indicators of Xuzhou City

Jiangsu Province from 1999 to 2008. The results showed that the per capita ecological footprint of Xuzhou City increased from 1.13 hm2 in 1989 to 2.57 hm2 in 2008

and the per capita ecological capacity decreased from 0.58 hm2 in 1989 to 0.45 hm2 in 2008. The per capita ecological deficit increased from 0.55 hm2 in 1989 to 2.10 hm2 in 2008. Intensification of land-use is low in Xuzhou City. The author used a linear regression model to predict the population

and predicted the ecological footprint of 2010-2015 by gray prediction model. The multi-objective linear programming model was built to optimize the land use structure in Xuzhou City

which minimizes ecological deficit and maximizes economic benefits as the objective function

and sets up seven variables and nine constraints. The land use structure was optimized in Xuzhou City according to optimal scheme.

关键词

Keywords

references

Gottlieb D, Vigoda G E, Haim A, et al. The ecological footprint as an educational tool for sustainability:A case study analysis in an Israeli public high school[J].International Journal of Educational Development, 2012,32(1):193-200.

Serafico M E, Espinoza M M, Perlas L A. Ecological footprint of the national capital region households:Bridging the gap between nutrition and environment[J].Philippine Journal of Science, 2012,141(1):67-75.

姚争,冯长春,阚俊杰.基于生态足迹理论的低碳校园研究:以北京大学生态足迹为例[J].资源科学,2011(6):1163-1170.

Wackernagel M, Rees W E. Perceptual and structural barriers to investing in natural capital:Economics from an ecological footprint perspective[J].Ecological Economics, 1997,20(1):3-24.

Rees W, Wackernagel M. Urban ecological footprints:Why cities cannot be sustainable and why they are a key to sustainability[J].Environmental Impact Assessment review,1996,16(4):223-248.

Costanza R, D'arge R, De G R, et al. The value of the world's ecosystem services and natural capital[J].Ecological Economics,1998,25(1):3-15.

Domptail S, Nuppenau E A. The role of uncertainty and expectations in modeling(range) land use strategies:An application of dynamic optimization modeling with recursion[J].Ecological Economics, 2010,69(12):2475-2485.

冯广京,严金明.土地利用总体规划修编的战略思路[J].中国土地科学,2002,16(2):4-7.

Sun Aiqing, Wu Kening. Optimization of land use structure applying grey linear programming and analytic hierarchy process[C]//Proceedings of the Artificial Intelligence, Management Science and Electronic Commerce(AIMSEC), 2nd International Conference on, IEEE, 2011.

尹科,王如松,姚亮,等.生态足迹核算方法及其应用研究进展[J].生态环境学报,2012,21(3):584-589.

刘东,封志明,杨艳昭.基于生态足迹的中国生态承载力供需平衡分析[J].自然资源学报,2012,27(4):614-624.

赵兴国,潘玉君,王爽, 等.云南省耕地资源利用的可持续性及其动态预测:基于"国家公顷" 的生态足迹新方法[J].资源科学,2011,33(3):542-548.

Wang Ping, Wang Xinjun. Spatiotemporal change of ecological footprint and sustainability analysis for Yangtze Delta Region[J].Journal of Geographical Sciences,2011,21(5):859-868.

Wackernagel M, Schulz N B, Deumling D, et al. Tracking the ecological overshoot of the human economy[J].Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, 2002,99(14):9266-9271.

Ewing B, Reed A, Galli A, et al. Calculation methodology for the national footprint accounts[M]. Oaklad:Global Footprint Network, 2010.

Gossling S, Hansson C B, Horstmeier O, et al.Ecological footprint analysis as a tool to assess tourism sustainability[J].Ecological Economics,2002,43(2):199-211.

陈东景,张志强,程国栋, 等.中国1999年的生态足迹分析[J].土壤学报,2002,39(3):441-445.

Erb K H. Actual land demand of Austria 1926-2000:A variation on ecological footprint assessments[J].Land Use Policy, 2004,21(3):247-259.

赵文亮,贺振,贺俊平, 等.基于MODIS-NDVI的河南省冬小麦产量遥感估测[J].地理研究,2012,31(12):2310-2320.

Wang Ruimin, Wei Yong. Direct GreyGM(1,1) Model and its Optimization[J].Journal of Grey System,2012,15(1):14-17.

魏光辉,胡清华,申莲, 等.灰色GM(1,1)模型在区域干旱预测中的应用[J].沙漠与绿洲气象,2012,5(5):20-23.

Liu Y, Cai Y, Huang G, et al. Interval-parameter chance-constrained fuzzy multi-objective programming for water pollution control with sustainable wetland management[J].Procedia Environmental Sciences, 2012(13):2316-2335.

郑荣宝,董玉祥,陈梅英.基于GECM与CA+ANN模型的土地资源优化配置与模拟[J].自然资源学报,2012,27(3):497-509.

白钰.基于生态足迹的天津市土地利用总体规划生态效用评价[J].经济地理,2012,32(10):127-132.

李丽娜,石培基,李建豹.基于GIS的可持续发展水平空间差异的实证分析[J].土壤,2012,44(3):492-497.

浏览量

1388

下载量

CSCD

文章被引用时，请邮件提醒。

提交

工具集

关联资源

基于生态足迹模型的区域可持续发展定量分析--以山东省烟台市为例

黄土丘陵区纸坊沟流域“退耕还林”工程实施后生态足迹变化分析

绵阳市生态足迹和生态承载力动态变化分析

江西省2007-2011年水资源生态足迹和生态承载力动态特征

基于ARIMA模型的生态足迹模拟与预测