XIA Ji-de, WU Fa-qi, YAO Zhi-hong. Error Analysis of Distributed Hydrological Model[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2008, 27(4): 105-110.DOI:
With the clear physical meaning of parameter structure and the full reflection of spatial heterogeneity
a distributed hydrological model can describe and simulate the real process of runoff induced by rainfall in a basin
accurately and sufficiently.The model is widely needed and concerned recently.Non-point source pollution
land surface process
and climate change impact assessment have a wide range of applications in the simulation of land use
land cover
soil erosion
and other changes in hydrological responses.Accuracy and error are critical to model forecast
which determine the application and extension of the model.On the basis of the analysis of model construction and verification process
the four kinds of model error sources are identified as follows: error caused by the factors being excluded
random or systematic error in a measured historical record
parametric error
and error caused by model structure.The analysis of each error and its calculation method are discussed and a basis for the model development and growth is provided.