1. 甘肃农业大学林学院
2. 甘肃省农村发展研究院
纸质出版:2011
移动端阅览
李芳, 蒋志荣. 张掖地区植被覆盖变化及其预测研究[J]. 水土保持通报, 2011,30(5):220-224.
Li Fang, Jiang Zhi-rong. Dynamic Analysis of Vegetation Cover and Prediction in Zhangye Region[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2011, 30(5): 220-224.
基于MODIS—NDVI数据
运用植被重心法、一元线性回归及R/S分析法对张掖地区2000—2008年204幅遥感图像进行了分析。结果表明:(1)2000—2003年植被重心向东移动
说明东部植被增加或西部植被减少;2006—2008年向北移动
说明北部植被增加或南部植被减少。植被重心年内变化表现为以5月和11月为界的不稳定—稳定—不稳定变化趋势。(2)近10a来植被覆盖呈增加趋势
植被改善区域占整个研究区面积的75.98%
分布于山丹、民乐和张掖盆地
主要土地类型为旱地和人工草地;人工植被增加速度高于天然植被;退化地区零星分布于人类活动强的张掖盆地和祁连山地北部。(3)生长季平均NDVI值的Hurst指数集中分布在0.4~0.6之间
以弱持续性和反持续性为主
但生长季各月则有一定的差异性
从5
6月份以持续性趋势为主到7月份的持续性减弱
反持续性增强
再到8
9月份的反持续性趋势减弱
持续性增强;不同土地利用类型的Hurst值排序为:其它未利用土地<建设用地<草地<耕地<未利用土地<林地<水体。
The temporal and spatial variations of normalized difference vegetation index(NDVI)in Zhangye region during 2000—2008were analyzed using the gravity center of vegetation
linear regression and R/S analysis based on the MODIS—NDVI data.The results show that the gravity center of vegetation moved eastward during 2000—2003
indicating increases of vegetation cover in the east and decreases in the west. The gravity centre of vegetation moved northward during 2006—2008
which revealed the vegetation increases in the north and decreases in the south during this period.Annual variations of the vegetation gravity centre were unstable from January to May and from November to January
but stable from May to November. Vegetation cover increased in basins of Shandan
Minle and Zhangye during recent ten years
which accounts for 75.98%of the whole study area.The main land use types of the study area were dry land and artificial grassland.The artificial vegetation increased faster than natural vegetation.Degraded regions distributed sporadically over Zhangye Basin and Qilian Mountain due to intensified human activities.The Hurst index of the growing season NDVI focused on 0.4~0.6
indicating weak sustainability and/or non-sustainability. However
the indices of each month in the growing seasons differed substantially.The Hurst index showed a transition of vegetation cover from sustainable in May to unsustainable in July
while the sustainability of the vegetation cover increased in August and September.The results also show different land use types in the order of increasing Hurst value as:unused landⅡ
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