Coupling and Coordination of Agricultural Ecological Security and Food Security in Provinces of Yangtze River Economic Belt

Gan Lili

doi:10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2024.05.024

您当前的位置：

首页 >

文章列表页 >

Coupling and Coordination of Agricultural Ecological Security and Food Security in Provinces of Yangtze River Economic Belt

- Coupling and Coordination of Agricultural Ecological Security and Food Security in Provinces of Yangtze River Economic Belt
- Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation Vol. 43, Issue 5, Pages: 223-233(2024)
- 作者机构：
  
  华东交通大学人文社会科学学院,江西,南昌,330013
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
- DOI：10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2024.05.024
  CLC： F327
- Published：2024
- 稿件说明：
移动端阅览
Gan Lili. Coupling and Coordination of Agricultural Ecological Security and Food Security in Provinces of Yangtze River Economic Belt[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2024, 43(5): 223-233.
DOI：

Gan Lili. Coupling and Coordination of Agricultural Ecological Security and Food Security in Provinces of Yangtze River Economic Belt[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2024, 43(5): 223-233. DOI： 10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2024.05.024.

摘要

[目的] 探究长江经济带农业生态安全和粮食安全耦合协调状况，为提升长江经济带农业生态安全、粮食安全及二者协调发展提供决策参考。[方法] 以长江经济带11个省(市)为研究尺度，采用熵权法、综合指数模型、耦合度模型、耦合协调度模型、灰色关联度模型、灰色预测模型和指数平滑模型定量分析农业生态安全和粮食安全的耦合协调水平、耦合协调发展等级、影响因素及未来趋势。[结果] ①2002—2022年，长江经济带省域农业生态安全与粮食安全综合指数大多呈现较大波动态势，省域间农业生态安全与粮食安全综合指数水平差距先缩小再扩大，样本间的差距整体不大。②从时间维度来看，长江经济带各省耦合协调度在2002—2022年期间变动较大，总体呈上升发展趋势，耦合协调等级大多升至更优一级水平。在空间维度上，整体呈现出“上游低、中游高、下游相对较低”的分布特征，区域差异比较显著。③农业生态安全与粮食安全是一个耦合交互的系统，农业生态安全子系统与粮食安全子系统均对耦合协调度具有影响。长江经济带省域粮食安全子系统对耦合协调度的影响更高一些。④用指数平滑法预测长江经济带未来五年省域耦合协调度值，不同省份呈不同趋势，既有上升趋势，也有小幅下降趋势。[结论] 长江经济带各省应因地制宜，在弥补子系统短板弱项的基础上进一步增强系统内外要素的协同联动，最终实现二者良性协同发展。

Abstract

[Objective] The coupling and coordination status of agricultural ecological security and food security was explored in order to provide decision-making reference for improving both

individually

and their coordinated development in the Yangtze River economic belt. [Methods] Taking 11 provinces (cities) in the Yangtze River economic belt as the research areas

the entropy weight method

comprehensive index model

coupling degree model

coupling coordination degree model

grey correlation degree model

grey prediction model

and exponential smoothing model were used to quantitatively analyze the coupling coordination level

coupling coordination development level

influencing factors

and future trends of agricultural ecological security and food security. [Results] ① From 2002 to 2022

the comprehensive index of agricultural ecological security and food security in most provinces of the Yangtze River economic belt showed a significant fluctuation trend. The gap in the level of comprehensive index of agricultural ecological security and food security between provinces first narrowed and then expanded

and the overall gap between samples was not significant. ② From a temporal perspective

the coupling coordination degree of various provinces in the Yangtze River economic belt fluctuated significantly from 2002 to 2022

showing an overall upward trend

with most coupling coordination levels rising to a more optimal level. Regarding spatial dimension

the overall distribution characteristics show relatively low upstream

low midstream

and high downstream trends

as well as significant regional differences. ③ Agricultural ecological security and food security are a coupled and interactive system

and both the subsystems of them influence the degree of coupling coordination. The impact of the provincial grain security subsystem in the Yangtze River economic belt on the coupling coordination degree is higher. ④ Using the exponential smoothing method to predict the coupling coordination degree of provinces in the Yangtze River economic belt for the next five years

different provinces show different trends

with both upward and slightly downward trends. [Conclusion] Provinces in the Yangtze River economic belt should adapt to local conditions

further enhance the synergy and linkage of internal and external factors on the basis of filling in the shortcomings and weaknesses of the subsystems

and ultimately achieve the benign coordinated development of the two.

关键词

Keywords

references

杨贵羽,汪林,王浩.基于水土资源状况的中国粮食安全思考[J].农业工程学报,2010,26(12):1-5. Yang Guiyu, Wang Lin, Wang Hao. Thinking of food security in China based on regional water resources and land cultivation [J]. Transactions of the Chinese Society of Agricultural Engineering, 2010,26(12):1-5.

刘英基.农业生态环境对粮食安全的作用机理及对策[J].农机化研究,2012,34(4):232-235. Liu Yingji. The agro-ecological environment protection mechanisms and countermeasures to food security [J]. Journal of Agricultural Mechanization Research, 2012,34(4):232-235.

Hurni H, Giger M, Liniger H, et al. Soils,agriculture and food security: The interplay between ecosystem functioning and human well-being [J]. Current Opinion in Environmental Sustainability, 2015,15:25-34.

Bommarco R, Vico G, Hallin S. Exploiting ecosystem services in agriculture for increased food security [J]. Global Food Security, 2018,17:57-63.

Mng’ong’o M, Munishi L K, Ndakidemi P A, et al. Toxic metals in East African agro-ecosystems: Key risks for sustainable food production [J]. Journal of Environmental Management, 2021,294:112973.

Pickering K, Pearce T, Manuel L, et al. Socio-ecological challenges and food security in the ‘salad bowl’ of Fiji, Sigatoka Valley [J]. Regional Environmental Change, 2023,23(2):61.

罗海平,王佳铖,胡学英,等.粮食主产区粮食安全与生态安全脆弱性耦合研究[J].统计与信息论坛,2023,38(7):117-128. Luo Haiping, Wang Jiacheng, Hu Xueying, et al. Study on coupling of vulnerability of food security and ecological security in major grain producing areas [J]. Journal of Statistics and Information, 2023,38(7):117-128.

Anagha K S, Kuttippurath J, Sharma M, et al. A comprehensive assessment of yield loss in rice due to surface ozone pollution in India during 2005—2020: A great concern for food security [J]. Agricultural Systems, 2024,215:103849.

崔明明,聂常虹.基于指标评价体系的我国粮食安全演变研究[J].中国科学院院刊,2019,34(8):910-919. Cui Mingming, Nie Changhong. Study on food security in China based on evaluation index system [J]. Bulletin of Chinese Academy of Sciences, 2019,34(8):910-919.

Kopteva L, Shabalina L, Kashirina E. Ecological aspects of the world food security [J]. E3S Web of Conferences, 2019,91:06011.

何可,宋洪远.资源环境约束下的中国粮食安全: 内涵、挑战与政策取向[J].南京农业大学学报(社会科学版),2021,21(3):45-57. He Ke, Song Hongyuan. China’s food security under the constraints of resources and environment: Connotation, challenges and policy orientation [J]. Journal of Nanjing Agricultural University (Social Sciences Edition), 2021,21(3):45-57.

仇焕广,雷馨圆,冷淦潇,等.新时期中国粮食安全的理论辨析[J].中国农村经济,2022(7):2-17. Qiu Huanguang, Lei Xinyuan, Leng Ganxiao, et al. A comprehensive theoretical analysis of grain security in the new era [J]. Chinese Rural Economy, 2022(7):2-17.

马彩虹,赵先贵.人口—耕地—粮食互动关系与区域可持续发展: 以陕西省为例[J].干旱区资源与环境,2006,20(2):50-54. Ma Caihong, Zhao Xiangui. The Pop-farmland-grain system relationship and the district sustainable development: A case study of Shaanxi Province [J]. Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment, 2006,20(2):50-54.

刘渝,张俊飚.中国水资源生态安全与粮食安全状态评价[J].资源科学,2010,32(12):2292-2297. Liu Yu, Zhang Junbiao. Analysis on temporal differences in water resources security and grain security in China [J]. Resources Science, 2010,32(12):2292-2297.

Richardson R B. Ecosystem services and food security: Economic perspectives on environmental sustainability [J]. Sustainability, 2010,2(11):3520-3548.

郑克强,金恩焘,宋焱,等.我国粮食安全与生态安全空间包容性研究: 以粮食主产区为例[J].山东社会科学,2019(2):124-129. Zheng Keqiang, Jin Entao, Song Yan, et al. A positive study of the spatial inclusion of China’s food security and ecological security: Taking the main grain producing areas for instances [J]. Shandong Social Sciences, 2019(2):124-129.

薛选登,冯誉萱.农业高质量发展与农业水足迹的脱钩关系研究: 基于黄河流域9省的实证分析[J].节水灌溉,2023(6):83-90. Xue Xuandeng, Feng Yuxuan. Study on the decoupling relationship between agricultural high quality development and agricultural water footprint: An empirical analysis based on 9 provinces in the Yellow River basin [J]. Water Saving Irrigation, 2023(6):83-90.

韩建军,杨雅冰.粮食安全与生态可持续耦合协调研究：以长江经济带为例[J].生态经济,2024,40(07):196-202. Han Jianjun, Yang Yabing. Study on coupling coordination between food security and ecological sustainability: A case study of the Yangtze River economic belt [J]. Ecological Economy, 2024,40(07):196-202.

罗海平,潘柳欣,宋焱,等.基于生态系统服务价值的中国粮食主产区农业—生态协调性实证测算与预警[J].江苏农业学报,2020,36(3):760-768. Luo Haiping, Pan Liuxin, Song Yan, et al. Measurement and warning of agro-ecological coordination in China’s major grain-producing areas based on ecosystem service value [J]. Jiangsu Journal of Agricultural Sciences, 2020,36(3):760-768.

Couturier S, Galeana-Pizaña J M, Figueroa D, et al. The link between agriculture and rural food security in the ecoregions of Mexico: Path diagrams and underlying dataset [J]. Data in Brief, 2022,44:108543.

Liu Linqi, Wang Xinyue, Meng Xuanzhu, et al. The coupling and coordination between food production security and agricultural ecological protection in main food-producing areas of China [J]. Ecological Indicators, 2023,154:110785.

Kadiresan K, Khanal P R. Rethinking irrigation for global food security [J]. Irrigation and Drainage, 2018,67(1):8-11.

Tan Yaogeng, Dong Zengchuan, Guzman S M, et al. Identifying the dynamic evolution and feedback process of water resources nexus system considering socioeconomic development, ecological protection, and food security: A practical tool for sustainable water use [J]. Hydrology and Earth System Sciences, 2021,25(12):6495-6522.

刘显,徐悦悦,孙从建,等.黄河上中游水资源与粮食安全耦合关系特征分析: 以陕甘宁青为例[J].地球环境学报,2022,13(4):369-379. Liu Xian, Xu Yueyue, Sun Congjian, et al. Analysis of the coupling characteristics between water resources and food security in the upper and middle reaches of the Yellow River: A case study of Shaanxi-Gansu-Ningxia-Qinghai region, Northwest China [J]. Journal of Earth Environment, 2022,13(4):369-379.

刘苗苗,潘佩佩,任佳璇,等.京津冀粮食安全与农业用水安全耦合协调研究[J].中国农业资源与区划,2023,44(2):170-182. Liu Miaomiao, Pan Peipei, Ren Jiaxuan, et al. Coupling coordination of food security and agricuitural water security in Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei region [J]. Chinese Journal of Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning, 2023,44(2):170-182.

Mwambo F M, Fürst C, Nyarko B K, et al. Maize production and environmental costs: Resource evaluation and strategic land use planning for food security in northern Ghana by means of coupled emergy and data envelopment analysis [J]. Land Use Policy, 2020,95:104490.

阴柯欣,商庆凯,米文宝.宁夏耕地生产力与粮食安全耦合关系及趋势预测[J].干旱区资源与环境,2020,34(7):37-45. Yin Kexin, Shang Qingkai, Mi Wenbao. Analysis and forecast of coupling relationship between cultivated land productivity and food security in Ningxia [J]. Journal of Arid Land Resources and Environment, 2020,34(7):37-45.

罗海平,余兆鹏,邹楠.我国粮食主产区生态与粮食安全耦合协调分析: 基于1995—2015年面板数据[J].中国农业资源与区划,2020,41(10):32-39. Luo Haiping, Yu Zhaopeng, Zou Nan. The empirical study on the spatial coupling of ecology and food security in major grain-producing areas in China: Based on 1995—2015 panel data [J]. Chinese Journal of Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning, 2020,41(10):32-39.

薛选登,马路.粮食主产区土地生态与粮食安全耦合协调性分析[J].中国农业资源与区划,2022,43(9):1-11. Xue Xuandeng, Ma Lu. Analysis on the coupling and coordination of land ecological and food security in main grain producing areas [J]. Chinese Journal of Agricultural Resources and Regional Planning, 2022,43(9):1-11.

唐启飞,何蒲明.农业生态环境: 粮食生产: 农业补贴耦合协调发展研究: 以湖北省为例[J].生态经济,2019,35(9):116-120. Tang Qifei, He Puming. Analysis of coupling coordination development among the agricultural Environment Grain production-agricultural subsidy: A case study of Hubei Province [J]. Ecological Economy, 2019,35(9):116-120.

Views

下载量

CSCD

Alert me when the article has been cited

提交

Tools

Publicity Resources

Spatiotemporal evolution and driving factors of coupling coordination between carbon emission efficiency of cultivated land use and food security in Fenhe River basin

Research on Coordinated Development of Production Development, Carbon Emission and Land Use in Yangtze River Economic Belt

Coupling coordination relationship between urbanization and ecosystem service value in Lanzhou-Xining urban agglomeration

Spatiotemporal evolution and prediction of coupling coordination development of county scal ecological-economic-social systems in Xizang

Research progress and trends of ecological environment of key lakes in Yangtze River economic belt based on bibliometric analysis

Related Author

Li Man

Wang Mengzhu

Liu Huancai

Wang Chao

Jian Kai

Ye Yun

Yu Ran

Wan Nianshun

Related Institution

College of Geography, Shanxi Normal University

Institute of Land and Resources, Anhui Agricultural University

School of Economics and Management, Anhui Agricultural University

School of Public Administration， Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics

School of Civil Engineering and Hydraulic Engineering， Qinghai University

⁰