Spatiotemporal Variation of Climate Drought in Loess Plateau Region During 1901-2017

Shi Yufeng; Liang Siqi; Peng Shouzhang

doi:10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2020.01.041

您当前的位置：

首页 >

文章列表页 >

Spatiotemporal Variation of Climate Drought in Loess Plateau Region During 1901-2017

- Spatiotemporal Variation of Climate Drought in Loess Plateau Region During 1901-2017
- Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation Vol. 40, Issue 1, Pages: 283-289(2020)
- 作者机构：
  
  1. 西北农林科技大学资源环境学院, 陕西杨凌,712100
  2. 西北农林科技大学黄土高原土壤侵蚀与旱地农业国家重点实验室, 陕西杨凌,712100
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
- DOI：10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2020.01.041
  CLC： P429
- Published：2020
- 稿件说明：
移动端阅览
Shi Yufeng, Liang Siqi, Peng Shouzhang. Spatiotemporal Variation of Climate Drought in Loess Plateau Region During 1901-2017[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2020, 40(1): 283-289.
DOI：

Shi Yufeng, Liang Siqi, Peng Shouzhang. Spatiotemporal Variation of Climate Drought in Loess Plateau Region During 1901-2017[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2020, 40(1): 283-289. DOI： 10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2020.01.041.

摘要

[目的] 分析1901-2017年和1981-2010年两个时间尺度黄土高原地区气候干旱的趋势变化和发生频率，为该区气候干旱应对策略的制定提供科学依据。[方法] 基于高空间分辨率长时间序列的气候数据，计算了黄土高原地区1901-2017年的标准化降水蒸散指数（SPEI），依次分析了该区气候干旱的趋势变化和发生频率。[结果] 1901-2017年，整个黄土高原的气候经历了"湿润-干旱-湿润-干旱"的交替过程，年SPEI变化趋势未达到显著性水平，且无显著突变年份。1981-2010年干旱呈显著加剧趋势的区域分布在黄土高原腹地以及中西部，面积比例为3.43%。1901-2017年干旱呈显著减轻趋势的区域主要分布在东、西部边缘区域，面积比例为1.05%；呈显著加剧趋势的区域分布在西北部，面积比例为4.16%。近30 a，黄土高原中部轻旱、重旱发生频率较高。在历史时期的两个时间段内，黄土高原西北部大部分地区重旱发生频率较低，未有极端干旱发生。[结论] 在黄土高原地区，随着干旱程度的不断加重，干旱频率的空间变异程度逐渐降低；不同等级干旱发生频率具有明显的空间变化特征。

Abstract

[Objective] The trend change and frequency of climate drought on the Loess Plateau during two periods of 1901-2017 and 1981-2010 were analyzed in order to provide a scientific basis for planning strategies coping with climatic drought in the region.[Methods] Based on a climate dataset with high spatial resolution and a long time-series

the annual standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) of the Loess Plateau region from 1901 to 2017 was calculated

and the change in trend and frequency of climate drought in the region were analyzed in turn.[Results] Over the entire Loess Plateau

the climate exhibited four alternating stages:"humid-arid-humid-arid" during 1901-2017. During this time

the variation trend of the annual SPEI was not significant

and there was no significant mutation. During 1981-2010

an area with a significantly increasing trend in drought (based on the SPEI) was detected in the hinterland and midwestern part of the Loess Plateau

accounting for 3.43% of the total area. During 1901-2017

an area with a significantly decreasing trend in drought was found distributed in the eastern and western marginal region

with an area ratio of 1.05%. Moreover

an area showing a trend of significant increase in drought was found in the northwest

with an area ratio of 4.16%. In the most recent 30 years

light and heavy droughts frequently occurred in the central region of the Loess Plateau. In 1981-2010 and 1901-2017

the occurrence frequency of severe drought in most of the northwestern region was lower than in other areas

and no extreme drought occurred.[Conclusion] With the increase in drought severity

the spatial variability of drought frequency gradually decreased on the Loess Plateau. Furthermore

drought frequency of different grades in the Loess Plateau region has obvious spatial variation characteristics.

关键词

Keywords

references

Pachauri R K, Allen M R, Barros V R. et al. Climate change 2014:Synthesis report[R]. Contribution of Working Groups Ⅰ, Ⅱ and Ⅲ to the fifth assessment report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. IPCC, Geneva, Switzerland, 2014.

Sheffield J, Wood E F, Roderick M L. Little change in global drought over the past 60 years[J]. Nature, 2012,491(7424):435-438.

温克刚,丁一汇.中国气象灾害大典(综合卷)[M].北京:气象出版社,2008:42-43.

王春乙.重大农业气象灾害研究进展[M].北京:气象出版社,2007:1-2.

任婧宇,彭守璋,曹扬,等.1901-2014年黄土高原区域气候变化时空分布特征[J].自然资源学报,2018,33(4):621-633.

李忆平,李耀辉.气象干旱指数在中国的适应性研究进展[J].干旱气象,2017,35(5):709-723.

McKee T B, Doesken N J, Kleist J. The relationship of drought frequency and duration to time scales[C]//Eighth Conference on Applied Climatology. American Meteorological Society, Eighth Conference on Applied Climatology, American Meteorological Society Boston, MA, 1993:179-183.

张龙,赵福年,李国昌,等.2种标准化干旱指标在甘肃武威干旱监测中的对比[J].干旱气象,2013,31(2):412-418.

Vicente-Serrano S M, Beguería S, López-Moreno J I. A multiscalar drought index sensitive to global warming:The standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index[J]. Journal of Climate, 2010,23(7):1696-1718.

Liu Zhipeng, Wang Yunqiang, Shao Mingan et al. Spatiotemporal analysis of multiscalar drought characteristics across the Loess Plateau of China[J]. Journal of Hydrology, 2016,534:281-299.

李伟光,易雪,侯美亭,等.基于标准化降水蒸散指数的中国干旱趋势研究[J].中国生态农业学报,2012,20(5):643-649.

马琼,张勃,王东,等.1960-2012年甘肃黄土高原干旱时空变化特征分析:基于标准化降水蒸散指数[J].资源科学,2014,36(9):1834-1841.

韦潇宇,胡琦,马雪晴,等.基于SPEI的华北平原夏玉米生长季干旱时空变化特征[J].干旱气象,2018,36(4):554-560,577.

Peng Shouzhang, Gang Chengcheng, Cao Yang et al. Assessment of climate change trends over the Loess Plateau in China from 1901 to 2100[J]. International Journal of Climatology, 2018,38(5):2250-2264.

Zhang Baoqing, Wu Pute, Zhao Xining, et al. Drought variation trends in different subregions of the Chinese Loess Plateau over the past four decades[J]. Agricultural Water Management, 2012,115:167-177.

Gao Xuerui, Zhao Qi, Zhao Xining, et al. Temporal and spatial evolution of the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration index (SPEI) in the Loess Plateau under climate change from 2001 to 2050[J]. Science of the Total Environment, 2017,595:191-200.

Wang L N, Zhu Q K, Zhao W J, et al. The drought trend and its relationship with rainfall intensity in the Loess Plateau of China[J]. Natural Hazards, 2015,77(1):479-495.

邹松兵.中国黄土高原潜在植被模拟[D].兰州:兰州大学,2006.

Peng Shouzhang, Ding Yongxia, Wen Zhongming, et al. Spatiotemporal change and trend analysis of potential evapotranspiration over the Loess Plateau of China during 2011-2100[J]. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 2017,233:183-194.

Harris I, Jones P D, Osborn T J, et al. Updated high-resolution grids of monthly climatic observations-the CRU TS3. 10 Dataset[J]. International journal of climatology, 2014,34(3):623-642.

Peng Shouzhang, Yu Kailiang, Li Zhi, et al. Integrating potential natural vegetation and habitat suitability into revegetation programs for sustainable ecosystems under future climate change[J]. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 2019,269/270:270-284.

Hargreaves G H, Samani Z A. Reference crop evapotranspiration from temperature[J]. Applied Engineering in Agriculture, 1985,1(2):96-99.

宋兵.基于Mann-Kendall检验的王瑶水库降水、径流变化趋势及突变分析[J].陕西水利,2018(3):77-78,81.

张钊,陈宝瑞,辛晓平.1960-2015年呼伦贝尔草原气温和降水格局变化特征[J].中国农业资源与区划,2018,39(12):121-128.

李维京,赵振国,李想,等.中国北方干旱的气候特征及其成因的初步研究[J].干旱气象,2003,21(4):1-5.

晏利斌.1961-2014年黄土高原气温和降水变化趋势[J].地球环境学报,2015,6(5):276-282.

Yao Yubi, Wang Runyuan, Yang Jinhu, et al. Changes in terrestrial surface dry and wet conditions on the Loess Plateau (China) during the last half century[J]. Journal of Arid Land, 2013,5(1):15-24.

Zhao Xining, Wu Pute. Meteorological drought over the Chinese Loess Plateau:1971-2010[J]. Natural Hazards, 2013,67(2):951-961.

张调风,张勃,张苗,等.1962-2010年甘肃省黄土高原区干旱时空动态格局[J].生态学杂志,2012,31(8):2066-2074.

龚建福,王毅荣.黄土高原气候响应全球变化的敏感区[J].干旱地区农业研究,2005,23(6):6-11.

裴婕,赵芳媛,董刚,等.黄土高原地区水量平衡研究[J].山西大学学报(自然科学版),2017,40(1):175-186.

陈磊.植被变化和地形对干旱半干旱区天气气候的影响[D].兰州:兰州大学,2012.

张璐,王斌飞,辛明月,等.西北地区东部持续性干旱大气环流分析[J].安徽农业科学,2017,45(25):196-198.

赵璐.青海省东部农业区农业气象干旱时空变化研究[D].陕西杨凌:西北农林科技大学,2010.

杨泽粟,张强,郝小翠.1982-2013年黄土高原地表蒸散量变化特征及其对降水的响应[C]//第32届中国气象学会年会论文集.天津,2015:97-114.

Views

1139

下载量

CSCD

Alert me when the article has been cited

提交

Tools

Publicity Resources

Evaluation of Comprehensive Development Level of Villages in South Middle Areas of Loess Plateau

Designed Sediment Discharge of Reservior Considering Soil and Water Conservation Benefit

Distribution Features of Soil Moisture on Slope in Loess Hilly Areas

On Optimized Design for Mechanized Terracing

Correlation Between Vegetation Coverage and Zoker Population Quantity

Related Author

LIU Hai-bin

WU Fa-qi

LIU Ren-yuan

LI Huai-en

WU Sheng-de

SUN Zhong-feng

ZHANG Xue-pei

ZHOU Fu-ming

Related Institution

College of Natural Resources and Environment, Northwest Science and Technology University of Agriculture and Forestry, Yangling

Xi’an University of Technology

Institute of Soil and Water Conservation, Yan’an

College of Soil and Water Conservation,Beijing Forest ry University

Gansu Institute of Soil and Water Conservation

⁰