Application of HBV Model in Determination of Critical Catastrophic Surface Rainfall in Fuchunjiang Reservoir Basin

PAN Yaying; MA Delian; ZHANG Qing; WANG Yanan; LUO Yuezhen

doi:10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2018.06.023

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Application of HBV Model in Determination of Critical Catastrophic Surface Rainfall in Fuchunjiang Reservoir Basin

- Application of HBV Model in Determination of Critical Catastrophic Surface Rainfall in Fuchunjiang Reservoir Basin
- Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation Vol. 38, Issue 6, Pages: 151-155(2018)
- 作者机构：
  
  1. 浙江省气象服务中心,浙江,杭州,310017
  2. 浙江珊溪经济发展有限责任公司,浙江,温州,325000
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
- DOI：10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2018.06.023
  CLC：
- Published：2018
- 稿件说明：
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PAN Yaying, MA Delian, ZHANG Qing, et al. Application of HBV Model in Determination of Critical Catastrophic Surface Rainfall in Fuchunjiang Reservoir Basin[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2018, 38(6): 151-155.
DOI：

PAN Yaying, MA Delian, ZHANG Qing, et al. Application of HBV Model in Determination of Critical Catastrophic Surface Rainfall in Fuchunjiang Reservoir Basin[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2018, 38(6): 151-155. DOI： 10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2018.06.023.

摘要

[目的] 研究分析HBV模型对于富春江流域径流序列模拟的适用性，并通过水位与径流量的关系，得到该流域各级水位的临界致灾面雨量，为暴雨灾害风险预警和评估业务提供服务产品，也为富春江水库的生产调度提供重要依据。[方法] 以富春江水力发电站为研究区，应用研究区气象资料和HBV水文模型开展研究。[结果] ①应用HBV水文模型模拟富春江流域径流量，在序列的率定期和验证期，模拟与实测的径流过程分布一致，模拟径流峰值区与大降水的实况分布比较一致，模拟与实测洪峰的平均相对误差小于5%，经率定后的HBV模型在富春江流域的模拟效果较好。②通过建立降水、径流、水位三者的响应关系，可以确定水库在警戒水位、设计洪水位时不同前期水位的临界面雨量。[结论] HBV水文模型在研究区具有一定的适用性。当预报有临界面雨量时，水库可以根据雨量、径流的预报信息做出对水位的科学调控。

Abstract

[Objective] The applicability of HBV model to the runoff sequence simulation of Fuchun River basin was investigated

and the critical disaster-causing surface rainfall of the water level at all levels of the basin was determined through the relationship between water level and runoff in order to provide a service product for the storm disaster risk warning and evaluation and an important basis for the production scheduling of Fuchunjiang Reservoir.[Methods] Taking Fuchunjiang hydropower station as a study area

the meteorological data and HBV hydrological model of the study area were applied.[Results] ① Application of the HBV hydrological model in simulating Fuchunjiang river basin runoff

in a sequence of regular rate and validation period

showed an agreement between the simulated and measured distributions of runoff process. There also was a good relationship between the runoff peak area and live distribution of heavy precipitation. Besides

the mean relative error between the simulated and measured flood peak is less than 5%

indicated a good performance carried out by the calibrated HBV model in the study area. ② Based on the response relationships among the precipitation

runoff

and water level

the warning water level of reservoir and critical surface rainfall could be determined.[Conclusion] The HBV hydrological model performed well to a certain degree in the study area. The reservoir can make a scientific regulation in water level according to the forecast information of rainfall and runoff

when the critical surface rainfall is predicted.

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references

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