Research on Effects of Land Supervision on Arable Land Conservation Based on Propensity Score Matching

JU Xiang; SHI Xiaoping; RAO Fangping

doi:10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2018.04.023

您当前的位置：

首页 >

文章列表页 >

Research on Effects of Land Supervision on Arable Land Conservation Based on Propensity Score Matching

- Research on Effects of Land Supervision on Arable Land Conservation Based on Propensity Score Matching
- Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation Vol. 38, Issue 4, Pages: 135-141(2018)
- 作者机构：
  
  南京农业大学土地管理学院,江苏,南京,210095
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
- DOI：10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2018.04.023
  CLC：
- Published：2018
- 稿件说明：
移动端阅览
JU Xiang, SHI Xiaoping, RAO Fangping. Research on Effects of Land Supervision on Arable Land Conservation Based on Propensity Score Matching[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2018, 38(4): 135-141.
DOI：

JU Xiang, SHI Xiaoping, RAO Fangping. Research on Effects of Land Supervision on Arable Land Conservation Based on Propensity Score Matching[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2018, 38(4): 135-141. DOI： 10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2018.04.023.

摘要

[目的

]

评估土地督察对耕地保护的效果以及解决样本选择带来的内生性问题，进一步完善土地督察制度提供理论支持。[方法

]

收集1999—2008年的省级面板数据，基于倾向值匹配分析估计土地督察的耕地保护效果。[结果

]

①通过匹配变量的平衡性检验，最终采用了内核匹配方法。运用内核匹配法进行匹配估算，专项督察每年减少建设占用耕地面积8 037.489 hm

，例行督察每年减少建设占用耕地面积62 741.880 hm

。②专项督查地区的选择并非随机产生的，由此产生了样本选择偏误，即由于样本选择产生的内生性问题，采用倾向值匹配方法能够更为准确地估算专项督查的耕地保护效果。③例行督察对地区的选择相对专项督查而言，随机性更强，督察也更为全面，因此样本选择偏误也较小。以被督察地区面积比重表达政策变量方式估计得到的例行督查耕地保护效果要比倾向值匹配方法估计得到的结果更为可靠。[结论

]

例行督察的耕地保护效果较好。在土地政策评估中，需要考虑政策及其对象的相互关系的不同，以此考虑政策效果评估方法的选择。

Abstract

[Objective] Studying whether the implementation of land supervision is effective in arable land protection and solving the sample selection bias for land supervision improvement.[Methods] Based on province-level panel data from 1999 to 2008

propensity score matching(PSM) was employed to estimate the effect of land supervision on arable land protection.[Results] ① Kernel matching is the best method by balancing test. This study estimates that the loss of arable land due to construction use decreases 8 037.489 hm2 per year because of special land supervision in effect and the loss of arable land due to construction use decreases 62 741.880 hm2 per year because of regular land supervision in effect by Kernel matching. ② The sample selection of special land supervision is not random

resulting in the effect of special land supervision on cultivated land protection larger in previous studies. ③ The sample selection of regular land supervision is more random

resulting in the sample selection bias smaller and the effect of regular land supervision on cultivated land protection more accurate compared with the special land supervision in previous studies.[Conclusion] The effect of cultivated land protection by regular land supervision is better. In the evaluation of land policy

we need to consider the difference of the relationship between the policy and its object

in order to choose the method used in policy effect evaluation.

关键词

Keywords

references

钟太洋,黄贤金,谭梦,等.土地督察的耕地保护效果评价[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2011,21(5):38-43.

李效顺,曲福田,谭荣,等.中国耕地资源变化与保护研究:基于土地督察视角的考察[J].自然资源学报,2009,24(3):387-401.

何为,黄贤金,钟太洋,等.基于内容分析法的土地督察制度建设进展评价[J].中国土地科学,2013,27(1):4-10.

谭术魁,张红林,饶映雪.土地例行督察的土地违法遏制效果测算[J].中国土地科学,2013,27(3):36-42.

赵雲泰,黄贤金,钟太洋,等.土地督察对土地市场化的影响效果评估[J].自然资源学报,2012,27(6):901-911.

吕晓,钟太洋,张晓玲,等.土地督察对土地违法的遏制效应评价[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2012,22(8):121-127.

彭佳雯,钟太洋,张晓玲,等.土地督察减少国有土地收益流失效果评价[J].中国土地科学,2012,26(1):4-11.

谭梦,钟太洋,张晓玲,等.土地督察对土地市场化的影响[J].中国土地科学,2012,26(1):12-16.

Lynch L, Janet E C. Is there evidence of a critical mass in the Mid-Atlantic agriculture sector between 1949 and 1997?[J]. Agricultural and Resource Economic Review, 2003,32(1):116-28.

Lynch L, Wayne G, Jacqueline G. "Are farmland preservation program easement restrictions capitalized into farmland prices? What can a propensity score matching analysis tell us?"[J]. Review of Agricultural Economics, 2007,29(3):502-509.

Lynch L, Liu X. Do Agricultural land preservation programs reduce farmland loss?:Evidence from a propensity score matching estimator[J]. Land Economics, 2011,87(5):183-201.

龙小宁,朱艳丽,蔡伟贤,等.基于空间计量模型的中国县级政府间税收竞争的实证分析[J].经济研究,2014(8):41-53.

杨瑞珍.我国耕地资源流失原因的深层剖析与政策建议[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2005,15(3):109-113.

李永乐,吴群.经济增长与耕地非农化的Kuznets曲线验证:来自中国省际面板数据的证据[J].资源科学,2008,30(5):667-672.

蔡银莺,张安录.耕地资源流失与经济发展的关系分析[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2005,15(5):56-61.

徐大伟,李斌.基于倾向值匹配法的区域生态补偿绩效评估研究[J].中国人口·资源与环境,2015,25(3):34-42.

Rosenbaum P. Constructing a control group using multivariate matched sampling methods that incorporate the propensity[J]. American Statistician, 1985,39(1):33-38.

Views

1104

下载量

CSCD

Alert me when the article has been cited

提交

Tools

Publicity Resources

Impacts of seasonal drought on carbon-water coupling mechanism in China’s terrestrial ecosystems

Effects of vegetation restoration duration on runoff and sediment yield in slopes of waste dumps in alpine mining areas

Impact of resource-exhausted city transformation on net ecosystem productivity——A case study of Xuzhou City， Jiangsu Province

Spatiotemporal evolution of ecosystem service value in mountain- oasis-desert system of typical arid regions——A case study at Manas River basin

Newly cultivated land changes and multi-scale detection of their driving mechanisms in western Jilin Province

Related Author

No data

Related Institution

No data

⁰