Ecosystem Service Value Change and Its Forecast in Key Ecological Function Area

LI Shu; LEI Xiaohan; CHEN Qibing

doi:10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2017.06.038

您当前的位置：

首页 >

文章列表页 >

Ecosystem Service Value Change and Its Forecast in Key Ecological Function Area

- Ecosystem Service Value Change and Its Forecast in Key Ecological Function Area
- Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation Vol. 37, Issue 6, Pages: 225-231(2017)
- 作者机构：
  
  1. 四川农业大学风景园林学院,四川,成都,611130
  2. 南京大学生命科学学院,江苏,南京,210023
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
- DOI：10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2017.06.038
  CLC：
- Published：2017
- 稿件说明：
移动端阅览
LI Shu, LEI Xiaohan, CHEN Qibing. Ecosystem Service Value Change and Its Forecast in Key Ecological Function Area[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2017, 37(6): 225-231.
DOI：

LI Shu, LEI Xiaohan, CHEN Qibing. Ecosystem Service Value Change and Its Forecast in Key Ecological Function Area[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2017, 37(6): 225-231. DOI： 10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2017.06.038.

摘要

[目的]对重点生态功能区（都江堰市）生态系统服务价值功能特征和变化趋势进行分析和预测，为该区域环境保护与合理城市开发目标的制定提供科学依据。[方法]以都江堰市1995，2007，2014年3期Landsat遥感影像解译的土地覆被数据为基础，使用Costanza的生态系统服务价值计算方法，谢高地2002版价值当量，经当量修正，敏感度指数检验后，评估都江堰市19 a间生态系统服务价值及其变化。运用灰色GM（1，1）模型预测其变化趋势。[结果]①研究区土地覆被类型以森林、农田为主（共80%以上）。1995-2014年研究区土地覆被变化较大，生态用地减少。②1995-2014年研究区生态系统服务价值下降629.46万元。森林是研究区生态服务价值最大的系统（占83%以上），其次为农田、水体、草甸、未利用地。水源涵养、废气处理是都江堰市最突出的两项生态服务（共56%以上）。③利用灰色GM（1，1）模型预测了研究区2021-2035年土地覆被面积，结合精度检验预测此阶段生态系统服务价值将增加136.6万元，年均增长0.17%。[结论]区域生态系统服务价值减少的主要原因是以交通为代表的建设用地增加，导致生态服务价值系数较高的生态用地减少，而增加森林、水体等有较高生态价值的土地覆被类型是维持与提高区域生态功能的有效措施。

Abstract

[Objective] The functional characteristics of ecological service and the variation trend of key ecological functional areas(Dujiangyan City) were analyzed and predicted to provide a scientific basis for environmental protection and goal determination of rational urban development for this region.[Methods] Based on the land cover data of three Landsat remote sensing images in 1995

2007 and 2014

calculation method of ecosystem service value from Costanza and the 2002 edition value equivalent method of proposed by Xie Gaodi in 2002 for regional correction

and combing coefficient of sensitivity

we discussed the changes of Dujiangyan's ecosystem service value from 1995 to 2014. Using the Grey Dynamic Model (1

the development trend of ecosystem service value in Dujiangyan City were forecast.[Results] ① In the study area

forest and farmland were two main factors

which accounted for more than 80% of the total area. The land cover changed a lot in 1995-2014

and the ecological land reduced. ② The total value of ecosystem services decreased by 629.46 million yuan during 1995-2014 in Dujiangyan City. Forest was the most valuable ecosystem in the area

which accounted for more than 83% of the total value

followed by farmland

water

grass and unused land. Water conservation and waste gas treatment were two most prominent ecological services

which accounted for more than 56% of the ecosystem services in this area. ③ The GM (1

1) predicted the land cover change and ecosystem services value in the study area from 2021-2035. The results suggested that during this period

ecosystem services value will be slowly increased by 136.6 million yuan in the study area

and the average annual growth rate is 0.17%.[Conclusion] The increase of the traffic mainly caused the reduction of the regional ecosystem service value

leading to the decrease of ecological land area. The increase of those land cover types with high ecological values

such as forest and water is an effective measure to maintain and improve regional ecological functions.

关键词

Keywords

references

严恩萍,林辉,王广兴,等.1990-2011年三峡库区生态系统服务价值演变及驱动力[J].生态学报,2014,34(20):5962-5973.

谢高地,张彩霞,张雷明,等.基于单位面积价值当量因子的生态系统服务价值化方法改进[J].自然资源学报,2015(8):1243-1254.

王友生,余新晓,贺康宁,等.基于土地覆被变化的怀柔水库流域生态服务价值研究[J].农业工程学报,2012,28(5):246-251.

Costanza R, d, Arge R, De Groot R, et al. The value of the world's ecosystem services and nature capital (J), Nature, 1997, 5(387):253-206.

Costanza R D. Introduction special section:From on valuation of ecosystems services the value of ecosystem services[J]. Ecological Value, 1998, 7(4):423-441.

Daily G, C Natures services:Societal Dependence on Natural Ecosystems[M]. Washington:Island Press, 1997.

Trimble S W, Cresson P. Soil erosion rates-myth and reality[J]. Science, 2000, 289(5477):248-250.

Tilman D, Fargione J, Wolff B, et al. Forecasting agriculturally driven global environment change[J]. Science, 2001, 292(5515):281-284.

赵小汎.土地覆被生态服务价值指标体系评估结果比较研究[J].长江流域资源与环境,2016,25(1):188-195.

谢高地,鲁春霞,冷允法,等.青藏高原生态资产的价值评估[J].自然资源学报,2003,18(2):189-196.

肖玉,谢高地,鲁春霞,等.施肥对稻田生态系统气体调节功能及其价值的影响[J].植物生态学报,2005,29(4):577-583.

赵景柱,徐亚骏,肖寒,等.基于可持续发展综合国力的生态系统服务评价研究:13个国家生态系统服务价值的测算[J].系统工程理论与实践,2003,23(1):121-127.

谢高地,肖玉,甄霖,等.我国粮食生产的生态服务价值研究[J].中国生态农业学报,2005,13(3):10-13.

谢高地,甄霖,鲁春霞,等.一个基于专家知识的生态系统服务价值化方法[J].自然资源学报,2008,23(5):911-919.

张家其,杨贺菲,田亚平,等.基于生态系统服务功能价值的湖北省恩施地区生态补偿研究[J].水土保持通报,2016,36(5):214-219.

刘海,殷杰,林苗,等.基于GIS的鄱阳湖流域生态系统服务价值结构变化[J].生态学报[J].2017,37(8):2575-2587.

李琳,林慧龙,高雅.三江源草原生态系统生态服务价值的能值评价[J].草业学报,2016,25(6):34-41.

黄麟,曹巍,吴丹,等.2000-2010年我国重点生态功能区生态系统变化状况[J].应用生态学报,2015,26(9):2758-2766.

朱会义,李秀彬,何书金,等. 环渤海地区土地覆被的时空变化分析[J].地理科学进展,2001,20(2):104-110.

赵丹,李锋,王如松.城市土地覆被变化对生态系统服务的影响:以淮北市为例[J].生态学报,2013,33(8):2343-2349.

郭荣中,杨敏华.长株潭地区生态系统服务价值分析及趋势预测[J].农业工程学报,2014,30(5):238-246.

普拉提·莫合塔尔,海米提·依米提.土地覆被变化下的生态系统服务敏感性研究:以克里雅绿洲为例[J].自然资源学报,2014,29(11):1849-1858.

胡和兵,刘红玉,郝敬锋,等.城市化对流域生态系统服务价值空间异质性的影响:以南京市九乡河流域为例[J].自然资源学报,2011,26(10):1715-1725.

李偲,韩桂红,海米提·依米提,等.土地覆被变化对喀纳斯自然保护区生态系统服务价值的影响[J].地域研究与开发,2011,30(3):123-127.

李恒哲,李超,陈召亚,等.基于分区的环京津土地生态服务价值及灰色预测[J].水土保持研究,2016,23(1):221-227.

司守奎,孙兆亮,孙玺菁.数学建模算法与应用[M].北京:国防工业出版社,2015:372-382.

赵小汎,陈文波,代力民.Markov和灰色模型在土地覆被预测中的应用[J].水土保持研究,2007,14(2):19-21.

赵丹,李锋,王如松.城市土地覆被变化对生态系统服务的影响:以淮北市为例[J].生态学报,2013,33(8):2343-2349.

Views

1028

下载量

CSCD

Alert me when the article has been cited

提交

Tools

Publicity Resources

Spatiotemporal evolution of ecosystem service value in mountain- oasis-desert system of typical arid regions——A case study at Manas River basin

Spatiotemporal heterogeneity of ecosystem service value in typical estuarine deltas of China

Topographic gradient characteristics and driving factors of ecosystem service value in Taohe River basin

Prediction of land-use and ecosystem service value in inter-provincial border areas——A case study of Huaihai economic zone

Evaluation of ecosystem service value and prediction of ecological risk in China under SSP-RCP scenarios

Related Author

Fu Shuai

Xu Bingxian

Feng Yingxiang

Yu Jie

Yang Zhili

Liu Yongchao

Wang Rongxue

Li Donglin

Related Institution

Graduate University of Chinese Academy of Sciences

Institute of Geographic Sciences and Natural Resources Research， Chinese;Academy of Sciences

School of Public Administration， Jiangxi University of Finance and Economics

Ningbo Development Planning Research Institute

Zhixin Middle School， Xinchang;County

⁰