Urbanization, Economic and N Emissions in China -An Empirical Study Based on Panel Data and Granger Causality

doi:10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2017.04.046

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Urbanization, Economic and N Emissions in China -An Empirical Study Based on Panel Data and Granger Causality

- Urbanization, Economic and N Emissions in China -An Empirical Study Based on Panel Data and Granger Causality
- Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation Vol. 37, Issue 4, Pages: 271-276(2017)
- 作者机构：
  
  绍兴文理学院土木工程学院,浙江,绍兴,312000
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
- DOI：10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2017.04.046
  CLC：
- Published：2017
- 稿件说明：
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Urbanization, Economic and N Emissions in China -An Empirical Study Based on Panel Data and Granger Causality[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2017, 37(4): 271-276.
DOI：

Urbanization, Economic and N Emissions in China -An Empirical Study Based on Panel Data and Granger Causality[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2017, 37(4): 271-276. DOI： 10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2017.04.046.

摘要

[目的]研究中国31个省份在2001-2015年的城市化水平、经济增长、氮排放三要素的相互关系，为城市环境的可持续发展提供理论支持。[方法]结合协整性检验和估算、面板单位根检验和Granger统计因果检验的方法。[结果]（1）中国和东部、中部和西部的城市化有助于经济增长，城市化和经济增长均增加了排氮量。西部地区城市化对氮排放的影响大于东部和中部。经济增长对东部氮排放量影响更大。（2）面板因果关系揭示了三者双向长期因果关系，城市化对中国经济增长有因果关系，城市化和经济增长对氮排放有因果关系。区域层面，东部和中部土地城市化与经济增长为双向长期因果关系。东部和中部，从土地城市化到氮排放量、从经济增长到氮排放均为单向短期因果关系。[结论]政府应通过控制经济增长和城市化速度、调整产业结构、提高能源利用率等手段降低排氮量。

Abstract

[Objective] Studying the relationships among issues of urbanization

economic growth and nitrogen emission in 31 provinces of China from 2001 to 2015

and to provide theoretical support for the sustainable development of urban environment.[Methods] Co-integration test

panel unit root test

and Granger statistical causality test were used jointly.[Results] (1) The urbanization of China

particularly of the western

central and eastern areas

contributed to the economy development. The urbanization and the successive economy development led to the increase of nitrogen emission. The urbanization in western area contributed more proportional than it did in central and eastern areas. In contrary

the economy development in eastern areas had lager contribution. (2) The panel causality results revealed that there were a long-run bidirectional causal relationship among urbanization

economy development and nitrogen emission. Two unidirectional links were found

one was from urbanization to economy development

another one was from urbanization and economy development to nitrogen emission. For different region

the causal relationship exhibited different direction traits. In eastern and central areas

the relationship between urbanization and economy development was long-run bidirectional. While the link from urbanization to N emission

and the link from economy development to N emission were both short-run and unidirectional.[Conclusion] The government should reduce the amount of nitrogen by controlling the speed of economic growth and urbanization

and by adjusting the industrial structure and increasing the utilization rate of energy.

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