Flood Forecasting Research in Qingshitan Reservoir Based on HEC-HMS Model

ZHANG Jing; YANG Mingxiang; LEI Xiaohui; LIANG Ji; YANG Ning

doi:10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2017.04.038

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Flood Forecasting Research in Qingshitan Reservoir Based on HEC-HMS Model

- Flood Forecasting Research in Qingshitan Reservoir Based on HEC-HMS Model
- Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation Vol. 37, Issue 4, Pages: 225-229(2017)
- 作者机构：
  
  1. 华中科技大学水电与数字化工程学院,湖北,武汉,430074
  2. 中国水利水电科学研究院流域水循环模拟与调控国家重点实验室,北京,100038
  3. 黄河水利委员会信息中心,河南,郑州,450004
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
- DOI：10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2017.04.038
  CLC：
- Published：2017
- 稿件说明：
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ZHANG Jing, YANG Mingxiang, LEI Xiaohui, et al. Flood Forecasting Research in Qingshitan Reservoir Based on HEC-HMS Model[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2017, 37(4): 225-229.
DOI：

ZHANG Jing, YANG Mingxiang, LEI Xiaohui, et al. Flood Forecasting Research in Qingshitan Reservoir Based on HEC-HMS Model[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2017, 37(4): 225-229. DOI： 10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2017.04.038.

摘要

[目的]构建青狮潭水库入库洪水预报模型，为实际预报业务提供参考，也可以为桂林市上游地区无资料地区水文气象规律研究提供支撑。[方法]HEC-HMS是一个包含多个产汇流模型的水文模型系统，适用于不同地区的水文问题分析和计算，广泛运用于洪水预报、防灾减灾等方面。利用该模型对桂林市青狮潭水库上游流域进行水文建模，模拟流域发生暴雨时青狮潭水库的入库洪水过程，以此作为研究洪水预报依据。[结果]通过研究发现HEC-HMS模型模拟的结果平均确定性系数达到0.88，洪峰流量和峰现时间误差均达到乙级预报标准。[结论]HEC-HMS模型在青狮潭流域适用性较好，可以用于青狮潭水库入库洪水预报。

Abstract

[Objective] Constructing a flood forecast model of Qingshitan Reservoir to provide a reference for actual forecasting business

and also to provide support for the study of hydrological and meteorological laws in the area

e.g.

Guilin City

where information in the upper reaches is lacked.[Methods] HEC-HMS(hydrologic engineering center and hydrologic modeling system) is a hydrological model system with multiple production and distribution modules. It is suitable for the analysis and calculation of hydrological problems in different areas. It is widely used in flood forecasting

disaster prevention and mitigation. This model was used in hydrological modeling of the upper reaches of Qingshitan Reservoir in Guilin City

to simulate the flooding process of Qingshitan Reservoir in the event of heavy rainstorm in the watershed as a basis for flood forecasting.[Results] The average deterministic coefficient of HEC-HMS model was found to be 0.88 by the study. The peak flow rate and peak current error all reached Grade B prediction criteria.[Conclusion] The HEC-HMS model is suitable for the Qingshitan basin and can be used for the flood forecasting of the Qingshitan Reservoir.

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