TAN Feifei, JIANG Xiangjun. Dual-Analysis on Carbon Emissions of Energy Consumption and Water Resource Consumption of Jing-Jin-Ji Region[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2016, 36(6): 231-239.
DOI:
TAN Feifei, JIANG Xiangjun. Dual-Analysis on Carbon Emissions of Energy Consumption and Water Resource Consumption of Jing-Jin-Ji Region[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2016, 36(6): 231-239. DOI: 10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2016.06.039.
Dual-Analysis on Carbon Emissions of Energy Consumption and Water Resource Consumption of Jing-Jin-Ji Region
[Objective] The impacting factors of energy consumption's carbonemissions and water resource consumption were explored
and the change in the future of Jing-Jin-Ji region was analyzed to provide scientific support for making targeted policies.[Methods] Based on the estimation of carbonemissions from energy consumption in the Jing-Jin-Ji region from 2002 to 2012
this study established the factor decomposition models of carbonemissions from energy consumption and water resource consumption. It also set the scenarios analysis model to forecast carbonemissions from energy consumption and water resource consumption in 2020.[Results] (1) Carbonemissions from energy consumption of Jing-Jin-Ji region increased with an average annual rate of 8.5%
the accumulation rate was 226.26%. The main emissions was from industry sector
and the followings were transportation and residential life sectors. Water resource consumption was relatively steady in all three industries. (2) Change of per capita wealth was the most positive factor for both CO2 emissions and water resource consumption of Jing-Jin-Ji region. While energy intensity and water intensity were two of the most negative factors
and the followings were industrial structure
per capita water resource consumption
population and carbon emission coefficient. (3) Under all scenarios
CO2 emissions in 2015 and 2020 will increase 553.6 Mt and 819.2 Mt in comparison with the one in 2005
respectively. Water resource consumption will increase 3.36 and 9.97 billion m3in comparison with the one in 2012.[Conclusion] Water resources consumptions of three major industries in Jing-Jin-Ji region during the study period were relatively stable
which implied that the adjustment of industrial structure and improvement of industrial water use efficiency are the priority for regional water resources management of this region.
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