LI Zhao, AN Fangzhou, ZHANG Yongfu, et al. Prediction of Ecosystem Services Value and Its Response to Land Use Change in Kashi City[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2015, 35(5): 274-278.
DOI:
LI Zhao, AN Fangzhou, ZHANG Yongfu, et al. Prediction of Ecosystem Services Value and Its Response to Land Use Change in Kashi City[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2015, 35(5): 274-278. DOI: 10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2015.05.051.
Prediction of Ecosystem Services Value and Its Response to Land Use Change in Kashi City
[Objective] The aim of this study is to investigate the influences of land use change on ecosystem services value in Kashi City in order to provide scientific foundation for land use management.[Methods] We analyzed the effects of land use change on ecosystem services from 1997 to 2010 in Kashi City. The evaluation formula and sensitivity analysis was used
based on the ecosystem services value evaluation results obtained from previous studies. Ecosystem services value was predicted according to the change of land use type in the integrated land use planning in Kashi City(2010-2020).[Results] The land use structure in Kashi City changed greatly from 1997 to 2020 by planning. The land use degree showed a trend of increase
while the total ecosystem services value was decreasing year by year. Particularly
the service value of cultivated land and waters was decreasing contunuously. The sensitivity index showed that ecosystem services value was inelasticity and the result was reliable.[Conclusion] In practical implementation process of land use planning in Kashi City
more attention need to be paid on intensive land use and land use structure optimization
to maintain the balance and stability of the ecosystem.
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references
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