Dynamic Changes and Prediction of Land Use in Xiamen City in Recent 20 Years

SHI Yi-qiang; WU Zhi-qiang

doi:10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2014.05.040

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Dynamic Changes and Prediction of Land Use in Xiamen City in Recent 20 Years

- Dynamic Changes and Prediction of Land Use in Xiamen City in Recent 20 Years
- Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation Vol. 33, Issue 5, Pages: 176-180(2014)
- 作者机构：
  
  1. 集美大学理学院,福建,厦门,361021
  2. 集美大学影像信息工程技术研究中心,福建,厦门,361021
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
- DOI：10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2014.05.040
  CLC：
- Published：2014
- 稿件说明：
移动端阅览
SHI Yi-qiang, WU Zhi-qiang. Dynamic Changes and Prediction of Land Use in Xiamen City in Recent 20 Years[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2014, 33(5): 176-180.
DOI：

SHI Yi-qiang, WU Zhi-qiang. Dynamic Changes and Prediction of Land Use in Xiamen City in Recent 20 Years[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2014, 33(5): 176-180. DOI： 10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2014.05.040.

摘要

基于RS与GIS技术

提取1994

2000

2006和2013年4期遥感影像土地利用信息

利用土地利用转移矩阵、动态度模型、概率转移矩阵及马尔可夫模型

研究了近20 a厦门市土地利用动态变化特征

并预测其未来10 a的土地利用变化趋势。结果表明

近20 a厦门市土地利用变化速度前期较快

后期趋缓

变化面积高达46.75%;土地利用变化的总体特征与建设海峡西岸经济区龙头及加强海洋经济的城市发展战略相符;建设用地变化仍为该区域未来10 a土地利用变化的主导类型

需加强对耕地和林地的保护以促进土地利用可持续性发展。

Abstract

Based on RS and GIS techniques

land use information of Xiamen City was extracted from four Landsat images in the years of 1994

2000

2006 and 2013. By the methods of transition matrix

dynamic degree model

transition probability matrix and Markov model

the dynamic change characteristics of land use in Xiamen City during the recent 20 years were analyzed

and the tendency of land use change in the next 10 years was also predicted. The result showed that land use changed with higher speed and then decreased

and there were about 46.75% areas changed in recent 20 years. The overall characteristics of land-use change fit well with the city development strategy to become the economic leader in West Coast Economic Zone

and strengthen the marine economy. The change of construction land will still be the leading type of land use change in Xiamen City from 2014 to 2023

and it is necessary to protect farmland and forest land to promote sustainable development of land use.

关键词

Keywords

references

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