Dynamics Analysis of Agricultural Sustainable Development Capability of Anhui Province

LU Li-peng; ZHANG Jie; BIAN Xiao-feng; ZHANG Rui

doi:10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2014.04.062

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Dynamics Analysis of Agricultural Sustainable Development Capability of Anhui Province

- Dynamics Analysis of Agricultural Sustainable Development Capability of Anhui Province
- Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation Vol. 33, Issue 4, Pages: 248-254(2014)
- 作者机构：
  
  1. 西北师范大学地理与环境科学学院,甘肃,兰州,730070
  2. 西南大学地理科学学院,重庆,400715
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
- DOI：10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2014.04.062
  CLC：
- Published：2014
- 稿件说明：
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LU Li-peng, ZHANG Jie, BIAN Xiao-feng, et al. Dynamics Analysis of Agricultural Sustainable Development Capability of Anhui Province[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2014, 33(4): 248-254.
DOI：

LU Li-peng, ZHANG Jie, BIAN Xiao-feng, et al. Dynamics Analysis of Agricultural Sustainable Development Capability of Anhui Province[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2014, 33(4): 248-254. DOI： 10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2014.04.062.

摘要

基于安徽省2000-2010年的农业相关基础数据

在构建农业可持续发展能力综合评价体系基础上

利用熵值分析方法从经济、社会、人口和资源、环境持续性5个层面对农业可持续发展能力进行了动态分析。建立了协调度模型

并对农业可持续发展5个子系统11 a的协调状态进行了评价。结果表明

2000-2010年安徽省农业可持续发展的整体水平呈现出稳步攀升的态势

但各个子系统的可持续发展水平的差异显著

经济子系统的起点高

发展最快

社会、人口子系统次之

3者均保持平稳较快增长态势;而资源和环境子系统的发展缓慢

甚至负增长

状态呈下滑趋势。安徽省11 a间农业可持续发展的协调状况不容乐观

基本处于不协调状态。

Abstract

Based on the original data in agriculture from 2000 to 2010 in Anhui Province and the construction of comprehensive assessment system for agricultural sustainable development capability

We conduct a dynamic analysis on agricultural sustainable development capability from the five levels of economic

social

ecological

environmental and resource sustainability by using entropy method. And the coordination degree model was established in order to expand the evaluation on the coordination state of the agricultural sustainable development of the five sub-systems from 2000 to 2010. The result indicates that the overall level of agricultural sustainable development shows a steadily rising trend in Anhui Province during 2000-2010

however

the levels of the sustainable development have a significant difference among the various sub-systems. The economic sub-system has a higher starting point and was grown fastest

followed by social sub-system and demographic sub-system; They all maintain a steady and rapid growth state. Whereas the resource sub-system and the environmental sub-system are at a slower developing speed

they even have a negative growth and still decrease. The coordination situation of the agricultural sustainable development from 2000 to 2010 in Anhui Province is not optimistic

it was basically at the uncoordinated state.

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