Driving Mechanism of Cultivated Land Resources and Its Effects on Yield of Major Grain Producting Area in Northeast China

XU Shan; SONG Ge; WANG Yue; LEI Guo-ping; WANG Xue-wei

doi:10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2014.02.046

您当前的位置：

首页 >

文章列表页 >

Driving Mechanism of Cultivated Land Resources and Its Effects on Yield of Major Grain Producting Area in Northeast China

- Driving Mechanism of Cultivated Land Resources and Its Effects on Yield of Major Grain Producting Area in Northeast China
- Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation Vol. 33, Issue 2, Pages: 218-223(2014)
- 作者机构：
  
  1. 东北农业大学资源与环境学院,黑龙江,哈尔滨,150030
  2. 东北大学土地管理研究所,辽宁,沈阳,110819
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
- DOI：10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2014.02.046
  CLC：
- Published：2014
- 稿件说明：
移动端阅览
XU Shan, SONG Ge, WANG Yue, et al. Driving Mechanism of Cultivated Land Resources and Its Effects on Yield of Major Grain Producting Area in Northeast China[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2014, 33(2): 218-223.
DOI：

XU Shan, SONG Ge, WANG Yue, et al. Driving Mechanism of Cultivated Land Resources and Its Effects on Yield of Major Grain Producting Area in Northeast China[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2014, 33(2): 218-223. DOI： 10.13961/j.cnki.stbctb.2014.02.046.

摘要

以东北粮食主产区巴彦县为研究区

以3S技术为手段

运用Logistic模型识别研究区耕地资源变化驱动因子

采用单因素指标法及通径分析法

探讨了单因子及复合因子对研究区粮食产量的影响。结果表明:(1)研究区耕地资源变化驱动因子主要为坡度、土壤类型、地均GDP等8个敏感性因子

且每个驱动因子对耕地资源变化的驱动机制各不相同; (2)单一驱动因子指标分级变化会引起粮食产量的改变

变化最大值为土壤有机质含量在1-2级间的改变

最小值为政策法规在2-3级间的改变; (3)复合因子对粮食产量主要表现为耕地资源变化驱动因子复合总效应每改变0.1

粮食产量的变化值约在950 kg/hm

。耕地资源变化的单因子及复合因子对粮食产量均产生较大影响

粮食生产能力的提高应根据驱动因子的不同特征制定具体措施。

Abstract

Taking Bayan County in grain producing areas of Northeast China as the study area

with "3S" technology

Logistic model is used to indentify the driving forces of cultivated land resources change. Single factor index method and path analysis are used to explore the impact of single factor and composite factors on food production. Results showed that: (1) The driving forces of cultivated land resources change mainly included slope

soil type

average land GDP and other 8 sensitive factors

and the driving mechanism of each driving factor was different. (2) The changes in the classification of single driving factor index might lead to changes in food production. The maximum change occurs in soil organic matter content with a level of 1-2 while the minimum change occurs in policies and regulations with a level of 2-3. (3) The impact of complex factors on food production was that 0.1 changes in the driving forces may lead to a change in food production around 950 kg/hm2. Both single factor and composite factors had a great impact on food production. Therefore

specific measures need to be formulated to enhance food production according to the different characteristics of the driving factors.

关键词

Keywords

references

李玉平,蔡运龙. 浙江省耕地变化与粮食安全的分析及预测[J]. 长江流域资源与环境,2007,16(4):466-470.

Jeanne X K, Roger E K, Turner B L. Regions at Risk-Comparisons of Threatened Environment[M]. New York:United Nations University Press, 1995.

Peter H, Tom V, Johan B. Land use change under conditions of high population pressure:The case of Java[J]. Global Environmental Change, 1999,9(4):303-312.

Quan Bin, Chen Jianfeiku, Qiu Honglei, et al. Spatial-temporal pattern and driving forces of land use changes in Xiamen[J]. Pedosphere, 2006, 16(4):477-488.

许淑青,张仁陟,董博,等. 耕作方式对耕层土壤结构性能及有机碳含量的影响[J]. 中国生态农业学报,2009,17(2):203-208.

赵阳,余新晓,贾剑波,等. 红门川流域土地利用景观动态演变及驱动力分析[J]. 农业工程学报,2013,29(9):239-248.

胡贤辉,杨钢桥. 江汉平原耕地数量变化驱动机制分析:以仙桃市为例[J]. 中国人口·资源与环境,2005,20(5):119-121.

鲁明星,徐辉,贺立源,等. 湖北省钟祥市耕地土壤养分时空变化分析[J]. 华中农业大学学报,2009,28(4):431-437.

郑海霞,童菊儿,徐扬. 发达地区耕地资源的时空变化及其驱动力实证研究[J]. 农业工程学报,2007,23(4):75-78.

刘瑞娟,张万昌,裴洪芹. 淮河流域土壤侵蚀与影响因子关系分析[J]. 中国水土保持,2010,338(5):29-32.

贺佳惠,王永军,李团胜. 榆林地区土地利用/覆被变化驱动机制研究[J]. 中国人口·资源与环境,2010,20(5):119-121.

张红富,周生路,吴绍华,等. 省域尺度耕地产能空间分异规律及其影响因子[J]. 农业工程学报,2010,26(8):308-314.

徐珊,宋戈. 东北粮食主产区耕地资源时空变化及其对粮食生产能力的影响[J]. 农业工程学报,2012,28(21):1-9.

王济川,郭志刚. Logistic回归模型方法与应用[M]. 北京,高等教育出版社,2001.

晏国菀. 经济增长、房地产业发展及宏观调控理论模型与计量分析[D]. 重庆:重庆大学,2010.

杨建波,王朝辉,邱士可,等. 耕地分等因素对粮食产量的影响[J]. 农业工程学报,2010,26(4):306-311.

杜家菊,陈志伟. 使用SPSS线性回归实现通径分析的方法[J]. 生物学通报,2010,45(2):4-6.

宋戈,王越,雷国平.松嫩高平原黑土区耕地利用系统安全影响因子作用机理研究:以黑龙江省巴彦县为例[J].自然资源学报,2014,29(1):13-26.

苏海民,陈健飞. 土地适宜性的综合评判物元模型[J]. 曲阜师范大学学报:自然科学版,2005,31(1):115-119.

Views

1303

下载量

CSCD

Alert me when the article has been cited

提交

Tools

Publicity Resources

Land cover information extraction and driving mechanism of spatiotemporal evolution in Beibu Gulf coastal area——Taking Qinzhou City of Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region as an example

Evaluation and Driving Mechanism of Land Degradation in a Sloping Field of Purple Soil in Three Gorges Reservoir Area

Driving Mechanisms of Ecological Footprint Based on STIRPAT Model

Land Use Change and Driving Mechanism in Rapid Urbanization Region-A Case Study at Chaohu River Basin

Evolution of Temporal-spatial Pattern of Grain Production and Its Driving Mechanism in Huaihe River Basin During 1990-2012

Related Author

Xu Binbin

Liao Chaoming

Shi Chunrou

Wei Yuanyuan

Gu Guanhai

Yun Ziheng

Zeng Shunqi

Qin Yuanli

Related Institution

School of Public Administration， Guangxi University

Guangxi Remote Sensing Spatial Information Technology Co.， Ltd.

Guangxi Forestry;Research Institute

Guangxi Transport Vocational And Technical College

School of Natural Resources and Surveying and Mapping， Nanning Normal University

⁰