Driving Model of Cultivated Land Change and Its Factor Analysis in Haiyan County

YU Wen-zheng; QU Fu-tian; XIAN Zhu; SONG Fang

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Driving Model of Cultivated Land Change and Its Factor Analysis in Haiyan County

- Driving Model of Cultivated Land Change and Its Factor Analysis in Haiyan County
- Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation Vol. 26, Issue 3, Pages: 65-68(2007)
- 作者机构：
  
  1. 南京农业大学公共管理学院,江苏,南京,210095
  2. 青海民族学院经济管理系,青海,西宁,810007
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
- DOI：
  CLC：
- Published：2007
- 稿件说明：
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YU Wen-zheng, QU Fu-tian, XIAN Zhu, et al. Driving Model of Cultivated Land Change and Its Factor Analysis in Haiyan County[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2007, 26(3): 65-68.
DOI：

YU Wen-zheng, QU Fu-tian, XIAN Zhu, et al. Driving Model of Cultivated Land Change and Its Factor Analysis in Haiyan County[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2007, 26(3): 65-68. DOI：

摘要

利用多元统计学与系统动力学原理和方法建立了海晏县耕地利用变化的驱动力模型

从县域规模水平上对海晏县耕地利用变化的驱动因子及其作用机理和过程进行了分析。结果发现

在海晏县除进入模型的总人口、年末存栏羊数是耕地利用变化的主要决定因子外

国家大政方针和政策也是该县耕地利用变化的主要驱动因子之一。最后探讨了该县土地资源可持续利用的对策和措施。

Abstract

Change of cultivated land is the core of land cover change

and also the change and its trend may reflect basic state of economy.Data obtained from statistical sources are used to analyze spatial and temporal change of cultivated land and driving forces by using relevance analysis

principal component analysis and regression analysis.The result indicates that besides total population and the amount of livestock

policy is also the dominant factor for change of cultivated land in Haiyan County.Countermeasures for sustainable use of land resources are discussed.The study will offer a reference to the protection of cultivated land in Haiyan County.

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