A Weight Determination Method Based on Rough Set for Hazard Assessment of Typical Moraine-dammed Lake Outburst in Himalayan Region
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A Weight Determination Method Based on Rough Set for Hazard Assessment of Typical Moraine-dammed Lake Outburst in Himalayan Region
Bulletin of Soiland Water ConservationVol. 29, Issue 5, Pages: 109-114(2010)
作者机构:
1. 吉林大学建设工程学院,吉林,长春,130026
2. 西藏自治区地质环境监测总站,西藏,拉萨,850001
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Published:2010
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SHU Youfeng, WANG Gangcheng, ZHUANG Shuyu, et al. A Weight Determination Method Based on Rough Set for Hazard Assessment of Typical Moraine-dammed Lake Outburst in Himalayan Region[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2010, 29(5): 109-114.
DOI:
SHU Youfeng, WANG Gangcheng, ZHUANG Shuyu, et al. A Weight Determination Method Based on Rough Set for Hazard Assessment of Typical Moraine-dammed Lake Outburst in Himalayan Region[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2010, 29(5): 109-114.DOI:
A Weight Determination Method Based on Rough Set for Hazard Assessment of Typical Moraine-dammed Lake Outburst in Himalayan Region
This study adopts an improved method of the rough set.In view of the typical moraine-dammed lakes in Tibet
China
it is proposed that the moraine lakes prone to outburst often have the five characteristics of steep glacial relief of moraine lake area
frequent glacial activities
large scale of moraine lakes
poor stability of moraine dam
and wet-hot climate condition.Based on the characteristics
evaluation factors are selected in the hazard assessment of moraine-dammed lake outburst.Then
weights are determined for the factors in consideration of practical survey result and verified by fuzzy comprehensive evaluation.By the weights
it can be concluded that the most important factor on outburst is the stability of moraine dam(weight value 0.42)
the second is the climate condition(weight value 0.18)
and the other three are closely equal(each weight value about 0.13).Width of moraine dam and warm-humid combination are the important influencing factors;lake-glacial distance
lake area
and altitude height are the secondarily important influencing factors;moraine distal flank steepness and average particle size of moraine dam are the ordinary factors.The result of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation is consistent with that of practical survey
so the weights of the high accuracy can be of great reference value to the hazard assessment of moraine-dammed lake outburst in China.