Dynamic Change of Population Carrying Capacity and Its Driving Forces in Wuan City of Hebei Province

YUAN Li; SUN Gui-ping; YAN Yan; LI Shan; CHEN Li-dong

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Dynamic Change of Population Carrying Capacity and Its Driving Forces in Wuan City of Hebei Province

- Dynamic Change of Population Carrying Capacity and Its Driving Forces in Wuan City of Hebei Province
- Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation Vol. 31, Issue 5, Pages: 37-40(2012)
- 作者机构：
  
  1. 河北师范大学资源与环境科学学院,河北,石家庄,050024
  2. 河北省环境演变与生态建设实验室,河北,石家庄,050024
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
- DOI：
  CLC：
- Published：2012
- 稿件说明：
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YUAN Li, SUN Gui-ping, YAN Yan, et al. Dynamic Change of Population Carrying Capacity and Its Driving Forces in Wuan City of Hebei Province[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2012, 31(5): 37-40.
DOI：

YUAN Li, SUN Gui-ping, YAN Yan, et al. Dynamic Change of Population Carrying Capacity and Its Driving Forces in Wuan City of Hebei Province[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2012, 31(5): 37-40. DOI：

摘要

基于生态足迹理论

设计出了河北省武安市生态环境人口承载力评价指标体系。应用生态足迹模型对2000-2010年武安市生态环境人口承载力进行了研究

并通过SPSS软件对结果数据采用相关分析法和回归分析法

进行了可持续状态分析和驱动因素分析。研究表明

武安市2000-2007年生态足迹与生态承载力矛盾较为突出。 2007年以后武安市加强转变经济增长方式

提高了对自然资源的利用率

使生态足迹和生态承载力之间的矛盾逐步缓和

开始向可持续的方向发展。该市人均化石燃料足迹强烈影响着可承载人口数量

是影响武安市生态承载人口动态变化的主要因素。

Abstract

An evaluation index system for the eco-environment population carrying capacity of Wuan City is designed based on ecological footprint theory. Ecological footprint model is applied to analyze the eco-envi-ronment population carrying capacity in 2000-2010. The sustainable development stature and driving factors are analyzed with the help of SPSS.Results show that the contradiction between ecological footprint and eco-logical carrying capacity was more prominent in 2000-2007. After 2007

the contradiction was alleviated to-wards a sustainable development through the transformation of economic growth and the improved utilization of natural resources.The population carrying capacity was strongly influenced by the per capita fossil fuel footprint that is the main factor for the dynamic change of ecological carrying population in Wuan City.

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