Variations of Runoff in Responding to Climate Change in Mountainous Areas of Heihe River During Last 50 Years
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Variations of Runoff in Responding to Climate Change in Mountainous Areas of Heihe River During Last 50 Years
Bulletin of Soiland Water ConservationVol. 31, Issue 2, Pages: 7-11(2012)
作者机构:
兰州大学资源环境学院 兰州大学干旱区水循环与气候变化研究中心,甘肃,兰州,730000
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Published:2012
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LI Zhuo-lun, WANG Nai-ang, LI Yu, et al. Variations of Runoff in Responding to Climate Change in Mountainous Areas of Heihe River During Last 50 Years[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2012, 31(2): 7-11.
DOI:
LI Zhuo-lun, WANG Nai-ang, LI Yu, et al. Variations of Runoff in Responding to Climate Change in Mountainous Areas of Heihe River During Last 50 Years[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2012, 31(2): 7-11.DOI:
Variations of Runoff in Responding to Climate Change in Mountainous Areas of Heihe River During Last 50 Years
Monthly meteorological data were obtained from typical weather stations located in the upper Heihe River.The influences of climatic factors on the runoff of the river from the mountain areas in the last 50 years were investigated using correlation,multivariate regression,analysis of variance,and trend analysis. The results of correlation show that winter and summer precipitation,summer and autumn mean lowest air temperature had close correlation with the runoff volume. Based on the close relationship,multivariate regression models were then developed to simulate the temporal variations of the runoff from the mountain areas. However,summer mean lowest air temperature showed little contribution to the runoff based on the regression analysis. The annual variations of the runoff were controlled by the precipitation amount in summer. Trend analysis results further confirmed that the runoff varied consistently corresponding to the summer precipitation over time scales of decades.
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