Grey Correlation Analysis of Cultivated Land Conversion and Its Driving Factors in Central China——A Case Study of Fuyang City,Anhui Province

HUAN Hong-yan; SUN Jun

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Grey Correlation Analysis of Cultivated Land Conversion and Its Driving Factors in Central China——A Case Study of Fuyang City,Anhui Province

- Grey Correlation Analysis of Cultivated Land Conversion and Its Driving Factors in Central China——A Case Study of Fuyang City,Anhui Province
- Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation Vol. 31, Issue 1, Pages: 82-88(2012)
- 作者机构：
  
  1. 南京航空航天大学经济与管理学院,江苏,南京,210016
  2. 阜阳师范学院经济与商业学院,安徽,阜阳,236041
  3. 无锡商业职业技术学院经济贸易学院,江苏,无锡,214153
- 作者简介：
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- Published：2012
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HUAN Hong-yan, SUN Jun. Grey Correlation Analysis of Cultivated Land Conversion and Its Driving Factors in Central China——A Case Study of Fuyang City,Anhui Province[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2012, 31(1): 82-88.
DOI：

HUAN Hong-yan, SUN Jun. Grey Correlation Analysis of Cultivated Land Conversion and Its Driving Factors in Central China——A Case Study of Fuyang City,Anhui Province[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2012, 31(1): 82-88. DOI：

摘要

基于1995—2008年社会经济发展与耕地变化统计数据

分析了阜阳市耕地资源时序变化特点

并运用广义灰色关联度方法对阜阳市耕地非农化的驱动力进行研究。结果表明

农业发展是耕地非农化的首要前提与基础

人口增长与城市化水平提高与耕地非农化相对变化速率存在高度关联性

经济总量增长与产业结构调整对耕地非农化的影响源自经济发展自身内在的驱动力。政府利益推动、投资热、房地产热、经济外向度提高这些导致许多大城市耕地非农化的主要因素对阜阳市的驱动作用较弱。

Abstract

The variation of time sequence for cultivated land resources in Fuyang City are analyzed based on the statistical data of socioeconomic development and cultivated land conversion in 1995—2008.Meanwhile

the driving factors of cultivated land conversion are studied by applying general grey correlation analysis method.Results show that agricultural development is the basis and premise of cultivated land conversion.Population growth or urbanization level rises are closely correlated with the relative speed of cultivated land conversion.The effects of economic gross growth and industrial structure adjustment on cultivated land conversion are contributed by the driving force resulted from the intrinsic aims of itself economic development.The main factors such as government benefits promotion

investment craze

real estate craze

and export oriented economic trend play a minor role in cultivated land conversion in Fuyang City

though they accelerate cultivated land conversion in many large cities.

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