Sustainable Development of Yulin City and Its Evaluation and Forecast by Pressure-State-Response Model

FENG Hui-juan; YANG Hai-juan

您当前的位置：

首页 >

文章列表页 >

Sustainable Development of Yulin City and Its Evaluation and Forecast by Pressure-State-Response Model

- Sustainable Development of Yulin City and Its Evaluation and Forecast by Pressure-State-Response Model
- Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation Vol. 32, Issue 4, Pages: 64-69(2013)
- 作者机构：
  
  西北大学城市与环境学院,陕西,西安,710127
- 作者简介：
- 基金信息：
- DOI：
  CLC：
- Published：2013
- 稿件说明：
移动端阅览
FENG Hui-juan, YANG Hai-juan. Sustainable Development of Yulin City and Its Evaluation and Forecast by Pressure-State-Response Model[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2013, 32(4): 64-69.
DOI：

FENG Hui-juan, YANG Hai-juan. Sustainable Development of Yulin City and Its Evaluation and Forecast by Pressure-State-Response Model[J]. Bulletin of Soiland Water Conservation, 2013, 32(4): 64-69. DOI：

摘要

选取国家能源重化工基地陕西省榆林市为研究区

应用"压力-状态-响应"(PSR)模型构建了榆林市可持续发展综合评价指标体系

运用基于熵值法的可持续发展模糊综合评价法对榆林市1996-2010年可持续发展状况进行了评估分析。利用系统协调度来衡量PSR系统协调性

并采用灰色系统预测模型GM(1

1)对榆林市未来10a的可持续发展状况进行了预测。结果显示:(1)1996-2010年榆林市可持续发展综合评价值从1996年的0.109 8增长至2010年的0.672 2

可持续发展水平在不断提高

但总体水平比较低下。(2)榆林市可持续发展系统协调度呈上升趋势

系统总体协调性较好。(3)基于现状响应的预测

2011-2020年榆林市可持续发展综合评价值持续上升

至2020年达到1.434 5

将进入可持续发展阶段。

Abstract

A regional evaluation index system of sustainable development for Yulin City

the state base of energy and heavy chemical industry

was established using PSR model(pressure-state-responses)

the sustainable development of Yulin City during the period of 1996-2010was analyzed and evaluated with the method of fuzzy comprehensive evaluation

the PSR coordination character for Yulin City was valued with the system coordination index and the future sustainable development in 10years was forecasted using grey system budget model GM(1

1).The results indicated that:(1)Since 1996

the sustainable development of Yulin City had been improved remarkably with the comprehensive evaluation value of sustainable development increased from 0.109 8to 0.672 2though it was still low in 2010;(2)The sustainable development system was in a good condition with the coordination degree on the up trend;(3)During 2010-2020the comprehensive evaluation value of sustainable development would continue to increase and reach at 1.434 5in 2020 when entering into a stage of sustainable development.

关键词

Keywords

references

Views

1686

下载量

CSCD

Alert me when the article has been cited

提交

Tools

Publicity Resources

Analysis and evaluation of ecological resource baseline status in ‘one river and three mountains’ region of Ningxia Hui Autonomous Region

Comprehensive Evaluation of the Sustainable Development of an Ecological Demonstration District

Current Situation of Soil Erosion and Anti-erosion Measures in Mining Area of Liaoning Province

Management of Soil Water for Agriculture Sustainable Development in Latored Soils of South Subtropical Hilly Area

Functions of Government Regulation in Sustainable Development of Water Resources

Related Author

Zhang Guiqin

Shu Rui

Ma Guoqing

Zhang Jianhai

LIANG Bao-ping

HUANG Fang

CHEN Bin

LI Hong-jun

Related Institution

中国地质大学（武汉）公共管理学院

School of Public Administration， China University of Geosciences

School of Land Science and Technology， China University of Geosciences

Ningxia Natural Resources Survey and Investigation Institute

The Bureau of City Construction

⁰